Beyond their substantial protection of individual vaccinees, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines might reduce viral load in breakthrough infection and thereby further suppress onward transmission. In this analysis of a real-world dataset of positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test results after inoculation with the BNT162b2 messenger RNA vaccine, we found that the viral load was substantially reduced for infections occurring 12-37 d after the first dose of vaccine. These reduced viral loads hint at a potentially lower infectiousness, further contributing to vaccine effect on virus spread.The recently authorized BNT162b2 Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine is approximately 95% efficient in preventing polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed symptomatic disease from 7 d after the second dose and also provides some early protection starting 12 d after the first dose 1,2 . As countries race to vaccinate a substantial portion of their populations in the coming months, it is hoped that the basic reproduction number of the virus will decrease. This effect can be achieved by reducing the number of susceptible people, as well as by reducing viral load and, thereby, viral shedding of post-vaccination infections, which might render them less infectious [3][4][5][6][7] . However, the effect of vaccination on viral load in COVID-19 post-vaccination infections is currently unknown 8 .As of February 11, 2021, Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS) in Israel has vaccinated more than 1 million of its members as part of a national rapid rollout of the vaccine. MHS member SARS-CoV-2 tests are often carried out in the MHS central laboratory, which offers the opportunity to track post-vaccination infections. In this study, we retrospectively collected and analyzed the quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) test measurements of three SARS-CoV-2 genes-E, N and RdRp (Allplex 2019-nCoV assay, Seegene)-from positive post-vaccination tests performed at the MHS central laboratory between December 21, 2020, and February 11, 2021 (n = 4,938 patients, study population; Table 1). The study period was characterized by high and steady rates of positive COVID-19 tests (Extended Data Fig. 1), indicating an ongoing epidemic wave.In an analysis of the infection cycle threshold (Ct) over time, we found that the mean viral load substantially decreased 12 d after vaccination with the first vaccine dose, coinciding with the known early onset of vaccine-mediated protection 1 . When we calculated the mean Ct for post-vaccination infections identified on each day
Antibiotic resistance is prevalent among the bacterial pathogens causing urinary tract infections. However, antimicrobial treatment is often prescribed "empirically", in the absence of antibiotic susceptibility testing, risking mismatched and therefore ineffective treatment. Here, linking a 10year longitudinal dataset of over 700,000 community-acquired UTIs with over 5,000,000 individually-resolved records of antibiotic purchases, we identify strong associations of antibiotic resistance with the demographics, records of past urine cultures and history of drug purchases of the patients. When combined together, these associations allow for machine learning-based personalized drug-specific predictions of antibiotic resistance, thereby enabling drug-prescribing algorithms that match antibiotic treatment recommendation to the expected resistance of each sample. Applying these algorithms retrospectively, over a one-year test period, we find that they much reduce the risk of mismatched treatment compared to the current standard-of-care. The clinical application of such algorithms may help improve the effectiveness of antimicrobial treatments. Users may view, print, copy, and download text and data-mine the content in such documents, for the purposes of academic research, subject always to the full Conditions of use:
Vaccinations are considered the major tool to curb the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. A randomized placebo-controlled trial of the BNT162b2 vaccine has demonstrated a 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 disease. These results are now corroborated with statistical analyses of real-world vaccination rollouts, but resolving vaccine effectiveness across demographic groups is challenging. Here, applying a multivariable logistic regression analysis approach to a large patient-level dataset, including SARS-CoV-2 tests, vaccine inoculations and personalized demographics, we model vaccine effectiveness at daily resolution and its interaction with sex, age and comorbidities. Vaccine effectiveness gradually increased post day 12 of inoculation, then plateaued, around 35 days, reaching 91.2% [CI 88.8%-93.1%] for all infections and 99.3% [CI 95.3%-99.9%] for symptomatic infections. Effectiveness was uniform for men and women yet declined mildly but significantly with age and for patients with specific chronic comorbidities, most notably type 2 diabetes. Quantifying real-world vaccine effectiveness, including both biological and behavioral effects, our analysis provides initial measurement of vaccine effectiveness across demographic groups.
Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious global public health problem. We aimed to quantify the risk of AKI associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria (albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]), age, sex, and race (African American and Caucasian). Study Design Collaborative meta-analysis. Setting & Population 8 general population cohorts (1,285,049 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohorts (79,519 participants). Selection Criteria for Studies Available eGFR, ACR, and ≥50 AKI events. Predictors Age, sex, race, eGFR, urine ACR, and interactions. Outcome Hospitalized with or for AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random effects meta-analysis to pool results. Results 16,480 (1.3%) general population cohort participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 4 years; 2,087 (2.6%) CKD participants had AKI over mean follow-up of 1 year. Lower eGFR and higher ACR were strongly associated with AKI. Compared with eGFR 80 ml/min/1.73 m2, the adjusted HR of AKI at eGFR 45 ml/min/1.73 m2 was 3.35 (95% CI, 2.75–4.07). Compared with ACR 5 mg/g, the risk of AKI at ACR 300 mg/g was 2.73 (95% CI, 2.18–3.43). Older age was associated with higher risk of AKI, but this effect was attenuated in lower eGFR or higher ACR. Male sex was associated with higher risk of AKI, with a slight attenuation in lower eGFR but not in higher ACR. African Americans had higher AKI risk at higher levels of eGFR and most levels of ACR. Limitations Only 2 general population cohorts could contribute to analyses by race; AKI identified by diagnostic code. Conclusions Reduced eGFR and increased ACR are consistent, strong risk factors for AKI whereas the associations of AKI with age, sex, and race may be weaker in more advanced stages of CKD.
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