This paper examines the relationship between financial development and international trade in Croatia over the period from the first quarter of 1997 and the last quarter of 2015. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration is applied to examine the long-run and short-run relationships among the series. The research hypothesis is accepted and the relationship between financial development and international trade in Croatia is established and confirmed. The research results reveal unidirectional Granger causality from financial development to international trade at the 10% significance level, and negative long-run and the positive short-run relationships between financial developments and international trade in Croatia.
This paper employs a quantile regression approach to explore the determinants
and properties of international foreign exchange reserves in Serbia and
North Macedonia, at various foreign exchange levels. The observed period
covers quarterly data for 2005q1-2019q1. The results reveal
quantile-dependent determinants of foreign exchange reserves and enable
comparison between the two countries, showing co-movements between monetary
policy and economic fluctuations. Following the estimates obtained in this
research, the paper compares the role of foreign exchange reserves in Serbia
and North Macedonia.
The objective of this paper is to analyze the governments spending-economic growth nexus and examine the asymmetries in the adjustment process between the two in the Croatian and Slovenian economy. The baseline relationship model between the variables of interest is grounded on the assumption of Wagner's Law and Keynesian hypothesis. A possible nonlinear asymmetric effect of governments spending and GDP toward their long-run equilibrium is tested for each case. The test results indicate the presence of nonlienarity in the relationship between public spending and GDP in Croatia and Slovenia as well. Eventually, country specific threshold cointegrating relationship between the considered variables are estimated and tested. The results reveal well suited threshold vector error correction model with significantly different error correction adjustments in normal and stress regimes for each of the two sample country.
This paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approach to cointegration, long-term equilibrium as well as short-term correlation between the observed variables was identified. Exports of goods and services and gross domestic product (GDP) in Croatia move together. If the two observed variables move away from equilibrium, they will return to their long-term equilibrium state at a velocity of 24.46% in the subsequent period. In accordance with the results, we found evidence supporting the export-led growth hypothesis in Croatia. As the outcomes indicated, to recover the economy, Croatia should put more emphasis on the development of exporting sectors.
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