No abstract

Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC) suffer from a limited lifespan, which impedes their uses at a large scale. From this point of view, prognostics appears to be a promising activity since the estimation of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) before a failure occurs allows deciding from mitigation actions at the right time when needed. Prognostics is however not a trivial task: 1) underlying degradation mechanisms cannot be easily measured and modeled, 2) health prediction must be performed with a long enough time horizon to allow reaction. The aim of this paper is to face these problems by proposing a prognostics framework that enables avoiding assumptions on the PEMFC behavior, while ensuring good accuracy on RUL estimates. Developments are based on a particle filtering approach that enables including non-observable states (degradation through time) into physical models. RUL estimates are obtained by considering successive probability distributions of degrading states. The method is applied on 2 data sets, where 3 models of the voltage drop are tested to compare predictions. Results are obtained with an accuracy of 90 hours around the real RUL value (for a 1000 hours lifespan), clearly showing the significance of the proposed approach.