Forecasted increase drought frequency and severity may drive worldwide declines in forest productivity. Species-level responses to a drier world are likely to be influenced by their functional traits. Here, we analyse forest resilience to drought using an extensive network of tree-ring width data and satellite imagery. We compiled proxies of forest growth and productivity (TRWi, absolutely dated ring-width indices; NDVI, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) for 11 tree species and 502 forests in Spain corresponding to Mediterranean, temperate, and continental biomes. Four different components of forest resilience to drought were calculated based on TRWi and NDVI data before, during, and after four major droughts (1986, 1994-1995, 1999, and 2005), and pointed out that TRWi data were more sensitive metrics of forest resilience to drought than NDVI data. Resilience was related to both drought severity and forest composition. Evergreen gymnosperms dominating semi-arid Mediterranean forests showed the lowest resistance to drought, but higher recovery than deciduous angiosperms dominating humid temperate forests. Moreover, semi-arid gymnosperm forests presented a negative temporal trend in the resistance to drought, but this pattern was absent in continental and temperate forests. Although gymnosperms in dry Mediterranean forests showed a faster recovery after drought, their recovery potential could be constrained if droughts become more frequent. Conversely, angiosperms and gymnosperms inhabiting temperate and continental sites might have problems to recover after more intense droughts since they resist drought but are less able to recover afterwards.
Forests play a key role in the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems. One of the main uncertainties in global change predictions lies in how the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest productivity will be affected by climate warming. Here we show an increasing influence of climate on the spatial variability of tree growth during the last 120 y, ultimately leading to unprecedented temporal coherence in ring-width records over wide geographical scales (spatial synchrony). Synchrony in growth patterns across cold-constrained (central Siberia) and droughtconstrained (Spain) Eurasian conifer forests have peaked in the early 21st century at subcontinental scales (∼1,000 km). Such enhanced synchrony is similar to that observed in trees co-occurring within a stand. In boreal forests, the combined effects of recent warming and increasing intensity of climate extremes are enhancing synchrony through an earlier start of wood formation and a stronger impact of year-to-year fluctuations of growing-season temperatures on growth. In Mediterranean forests, the impact of warming on synchrony is related mainly to an advanced onset of growth and the strengthening of droughtinduced growth limitations. Spatial patterns of enhanced synchrony represent early warning signals of climate change impacts on forest ecosystems at subcontinental scales. U nderstanding how climate change affects forests across multiple spatiotemporal scales is important for anticipating its impacts on terrestrial ecosystems. Increases in atmospheric CO 2 concentration and shifts in phenology (1-3) could favor tree growth by enhancing photosynthesis and extending the effective growing period, respectively (4). Conversely, recent warming could increase respiration rates and, together with increasing heat and drought stresses, exert negative impacts on forest productivity (5, 6). Given the uncertainty as to what extent enhanced carbon uptake could be offset by the detrimental effects of warming on tree performance, the actual consequences of climate change on forest carbon cycling remain under debate. Notably, climate change has a stronger impact on forests constrained by climatic stressors, such as suboptimal temperatures or water shortage (7). As high-resolution repositories of biological responses to the environment, dendrochronological archives can be used to monitor this impact (8).The concept of spatial synchrony in tree growth refers to the extent of coincident changes in ring-width patterns among geographically disjunct tree populations (9). Climatic restrictions tend to strengthen growth-climate relationships, resulting in enhanced common ringwidth signals (i.e., more synchronous tree growth). Thus, regional bioclimatic patterns can be delineated by identifying groups of trees whose growth is synchronously driven by certain climatic constraints (10, 11). Previous synthesis studies have provided evidence for globally coherent multispecies responses to climate change in natural systems, including forests, with a focus on the role of increasingly warmer tempe...
46Scots pine forests subjected to continental Mediterranean climates undergo cold winter 47 temperatures and drought stress. Recent climatic trends towards warmer and drier 48 conditions across the Mediterranean Basin might render some of these pine populations 49 more vulnerable to drought-induced growth decline at the southernmost limit of the 50 species distribution. We investigated how cold winters and dry growing seasons drive 51 the radial growth of Scots pine subject to continental Mediterranean climates by relating 52 growth to climate variables at local (elevational gradient) and regional (latitudinal 53 gradient) scales. Local climate-growth relationships were quantified on different time 54 scales (5-, 10-and 15-days) to evaluate the relative role of elevation and specific site 55 characteristics. A negative water balance driven by high maximum temperatures in June 56 (low-elevation sites) and July (high-elevation sites) was the major constraint on growth, 57 particularly on a 5-to 10-day time scale. Warm nocturnal conditions in January were 58 associated with wider rings at the high-elevation sites. At the regional scale, Scots pine 59 growth mainly responded positively to July precipitation, with a stronger association at 60 lower elevations and higher latitudes. January minimum temperatures showed similar 61 patterns but played a secondary role as a driver of tree growth. The balance between 62 positive and negative effects of summer precipitation and winter temperature on radial 63 growth depends on elevation and latitude, with low-elevation populations being more 64 prone to suffer drought and heat stress, whereas high-elevation populations may be 65 favoured by warmer winter conditions. This negative impact of summer heat and 66 drought has increased during the past decades. This interaction between climate and site 67 conditions and local adaptations is therefore decisive for the future performance and 68 persistence of Scots pine populations in continental Mediterranean climates.
Aim We investigate the effects of the environmental and geographical processes driving growth resilience and recovery in response to drought in Mediterranean Pinus pinaster forests. We explicitly consider how intraspecific variability modulates growth resilience to drought. Location Western Mediterranean basin. Methods We analysed tree rings from a large network of 48 forests (836 trees) encompassing wide ecological and climatic gradients, including six provenances. To characterize the major constraints of P. pinaster growth under extremely dry conditions, we simulated growth responses to temperature and soil moisture using a process‐based growth model coupled with the quantification of climate–growth relationships. Then, we related growth–resilience indices to provenance and site variables considering different drought events. Results Pinus pinaster displayed strong variation in growth resilience across its distributional range, but common patterns were found within each provenance. Post‐drought resilience increased with elevation and drier conditions but decreased with spring precipitation. Trees from dry sites were less resistant to drought but recovered faster than trees from wet sites. Main conclusions Resilience strategies differed among tree provenances: wet forests showed higher growth resistance to drought, while dry forests presented faster growth recovery, suggesting different impacts of climate warming on forest productivity. We detected geographically structured resilience patterns corresponding to different provenances, confirming high intraspecific variability in response to drought. This information should be included in species distribution models to simulate forest responses to climate warming and forecasted aridification.
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