This paper aims to examine the effect of crude oil price volatility, the internet, and inflation on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). To test this effect, we use the panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag model and panel data with annual time series for the period from 1995 to 2018. The test results show that only the internet affects economic growth in the long run, and this effect is positive. Meanwhile, in the short run, there is an impact of crude oil price volatility, the internet, and inflation on economic growth in all ASEAN-5 countries. However, the effect of inflation on economic growth only exists in Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
This paper seeks to examine the influence of crude oil prices volatility, the internet, and exchange rate on the number of foreign tourist arrivals in Indonesia. Using a time-series dataset from 1995 to 2018 and employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model plus an error correction model (ECM-ARDL), our research shows that in the long run, the internet has a positive influence on the number of foreign tourist arrivals. Every 1% rise in the internet, the number of foreign tourist arrivals rises by 0.49%. However, crude oil prices volatility and exchange rates do not significantly affect the number of foreign tourist arrivals. In the short run, there is a negative influence of crude oil price volatility on the number of foreign tourist arrivals. Meanwhile, the exchange rate positively affects the number of foreign tourist arrivals, meaning that the appreciation (depreciation) of the IDR exchange rate against the USD causes the number of foreign tourist arrivals to go down (up).
This study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of crude oil prices and exchange rate on bond yields in Indonesia. Dubai crude oil prices are used as a proxy for crude oil price data and the IDR/USD exchange rate is used as a proxy for exchange rate. Meanwhile, the 10-year Indonesian bond yields are used as a proxy for bond yields. Data on Dubai crude oil prices, the IDR/USD exchange rate, and the 10-year Indonesian government bond yields are time-series data from January 2007 to April 2019. The results of the test using the autoregressive distributed lag and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag models show that (1) in the long-run, neither the crude oil prices nor the exchange rate has symmetric and asymmetric effects on the bond yields, and (2) in the short-run, both of them have symmetric and asymmetric effects on the bond yields.
Dalam kondisi pandemi COVID-19 ini, untuk meningkatkan kualitas pembelajaran diperlukan media pembelajaran yang merupakan suatu alat dan bahan yang dapat dipakai untuk mencapai tujuan pendidikan. Media pembelajaran di sekolah saat ini bergeser menjadi pembelajaran yang memanfaatkan teknologi informasi dan komunikasi (TIK), Karena itu guru-guru SMA/SMK dirasa perlu untuk melakukan inovasi pembelajaran. Kenyataan saat ini guru-guru SMA/SMK masih jarang melakukan inovasi pembelajaran yang memanfaatkan TIK dengan menggunakan aplikasi software dalam kegiatan pembelajaran. Kegiatan pengabdian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan profesionalitas dan keterampilan IT bagi guru-guru SMA/SMK di Kota Kendari melalui pembuatan web blog dan elektronik modul (e-modul) dalam pembelajaran. Metode yang digunakan dalam kegiatan pengabdian ini adalah pembimbingan dan pendampingan serta memberikan materi dan dialog interaktif melalui demonstrasi/simulasi/praktik, serta desiminasi melalui kegiatan pembelajaran. Adapun langkah-langkah yang dilakukan adalah: (1) Pembimbingan pembuatan web blog untuk guru-guru SMA/SMK di Kota Kendari sebagai wadah untuk interaksi pembelajaran serta mensosialisasikan bahan ajar yang telah dikembangkan kepada peserta didik (2) Pembimbingan pembuatan bahan ajar berupa e-modul pembelajaran SMA/SMK dengan target peningkatan pemahaman guru dalam membuat e-modul pembelajaran yang selanjutnya dapat di unggah (upload) dalam web blog masing-masing guru. Sedangkan target luaran kegiatan ini berupa modul dan e-modul pembelajaran di SMA/SMK yang dapat diakses melalui web blog guru oleh siswa-siswa dalam menunjang dan meningkatkan aktivitas pembelajarannya selama masa COVID-19 ini.
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