Study Type – Diagnostic (exploratory cohort) Level of Evidence 2b
OBJECTIVE
To develop a nomogram to predict the probability that the pathological Gleason sum (GS) will be higher than that indicated by the biopsy, suggesting a higher risk for the patient presumed to be at low risk, as a substantial proportion of patients with low and intermediate grade on biopsy are upgraded on interpretation of the radical prostatectomy (RP) specimens, but a similar clarification of accurate Gleason scoring is not available in patients with no surgical histology.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
The study included 1017 patients who had RP after biopsy showing GS 6 and 7 (3 + 4) from 2000 to 2007. Nomogram predictor variables included age, race, digital rectal examination, prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) level, number of cores taken, number of positive cores, maximum percentage cancer in any core, number of previous biopsies, prostate volume, clinical stage, high‐grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia, atypical small acinar proliferation, inflammation and perineural invasion. We calculated the nomogram‐predicted probability in each patient. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated as a measure of discrimination, and the calibration was assessed graphically.
RESULTS
The mean age of the patients was 60 years, the mean PSA level 6.62 ng/mL; 336 patients were upgraded (33%), 623 remained the same (61.3%) and 58 were downgraded (5.7%). A nomogram for predicting the possibility of upgrading was constructed that had a concordance index of 0.68. The nomogram was well calibrated.
CONCLUSIONS
Our nomogram for predicting upgrading provides important additional information for deciding on treatment to both the urologist and the patient with low‐ and intermediate‐grade prostate cancer. It might prove useful when the possibility of a more aggressive Gleason variant can change the management, and is especially meaningful when management options other than surgery are selected based on the inability to recognize the true pathological actual GS.
Compared to extended biopsy, office based saturation biopsy significantly increases cancer detection on repeat biopsy. The potential for increased detection of clinically insignificant cancer should be weighed against missing significant cases.
The increasing use of cross-sectional imaging has led to an increase in the diagnosis of incidental small renal masses (SRMs). About 20% of such masses are benign, while a significant proportion of malignant SRMs demonstrate slow growth kinetics and non-aggressive histologic features. Given these characteristics, lesions that were traditionally treated surgically are increasingly managed with less aggressive approaches. Further contributing to the evolving management paradigm is accumulating evidence supporting the safety of active surveillance and the efficacy of percutaneous renal mass biopsy in guiding management decisions. This review first discusses the epidemiology and diagnostic work-up of SRMs. The available management options are then examined, with emphasis placed on the clinical factors considered in selecting an appropriate approach. The existing evidence and long-term outcomes of each strategy are discussed. Finally, an overview of the current paradigm for the management of a patient with a SRM is provided. The goal is to provide physicians with the necessary understanding to appropriately manage this increasingly common condition.
Study Type – Prognosis (case series) Level of Evidence 4
OBJECTIVE
To create a nomogram for predicting the probability of a positive biopsy in men with one or more previous negative biopsies, as the false‐negative rate of prostate biopsy in contemporary series remains substantial, and there is a need to identify those with a negative result but with a high risk of having unrecognized prostate cancer.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
The study included 408 patients from Cleveland Clinic who had one or more repeat biopsies after an initial negative biopsy from 1999 to 2008. Another 470 men with the same criteria were used to validate the nomogram. Nomogram variables included age, family history of prostate cancer, body mass index, findings on a digital rectal examination, prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) level, PSA slope, total prostate volume, months from initial negative biopsy session, months from previous negative biopsy, cumulative number of negative cores previously taken and history of high‐grade intraepithelial neoplasia or atypical small acinar proliferation. We calculated the nomogram predicted probability in each patient. These predicted outcomes were compared with the actual biopsy results. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated as a measure of discrimination.
RESULTS
The mean number of previous negative biopsies was 1.5, and the mean number of cores per session was 19.1. Of the original development data, 129 men (31.6%) had prostate cancer. A nomogram was constructed that had a concordance index of 0.72, which was greater than any single risk factor. In the validation group the area under the ROC curve was 0.62.
CONCLUSIONS
Our nomogram for predicting a positive repeat biopsy can provide important additional information to aid the urologist and patient with a negative biopsy in evaluating clinical options.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.