Common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are predicted to collectively explain 40–50% of phenotypic variation in human height, but identifying the specific variants and associated regions requires huge sample sizes1. Here, using data from a genome-wide association study of 5.4 million individuals of diverse ancestries, we show that 12,111 independent SNPs that are significantly associated with height account for nearly all of the common SNP-based heritability. These SNPs are clustered within 7,209 non-overlapping genomic segments with a mean size of around 90 kb, covering about 21% of the genome. The density of independent associations varies across the genome and the regions of increased density are enriched for biologically relevant genes. In out-of-sample estimation and prediction, the 12,111 SNPs (or all SNPs in the HapMap 3 panel2) account for 40% (45%) of phenotypic variance in populations of European ancestry but only around 10–20% (14–24%) in populations of other ancestries. Effect sizes, associated regions and gene prioritization are similar across ancestries, indicating that reduced prediction accuracy is likely to be explained by linkage disequilibrium and differences in allele frequency within associated regions. Finally, we show that the relevant biological pathways are detectable with smaller sample sizes than are needed to implicate causal genes and variants. Overall, this study provides a comprehensive map of specific genomic regions that contain the vast majority of common height-associated variants. Although this map is saturated for populations of European ancestry, further research is needed to achieve equivalent saturation in other ancestries.
Polygenic Scores (PSs) describe the genetic component of an individual's quantitative phenotype or their susceptibility to diseases with a genetic basis. Currently, PSs rely on population-dependent contributions of many associated alleles, with limited applicability to understudied populations and recently admixed individuals. Here we introduce a combination of local ancestry deconvolution and partial PS computation to account for the populationspecific nature of the association signals in individuals with admixed ancestry. We demonstrate partial PS to be a proxy for the total PS and that a portion of the genome is enough to improve susceptibility predictions for the traits we test. By combining partial PSs from different populations, we are able to improve trait predictability in admixed individuals with some European ancestry. These results may extend the applicability of PSs to subjects with a complex history of admixture, where current methods cannot be applied.
Aims/hypothesis Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a major health burden disproportionately affecting those with lower educational attainment (EA). We aimed to obtain causal estimates of the association between EA and type 2 diabetes and to quantify mediating effects of known modifiable risk factors. Methods We applied two-step, two-sample multivariable Mendelian randomisation (MR) techniques using SNPs as genetic instruments for exposure and mediators, thereby minimising bias due to confounding and reverse causation. We leveraged summary data on genome-wide association studies for EA, proposed mediators (i.e. BMI, blood pressure, smoking, television watching) and type 2 diabetes. The total effect of EA on type 2 diabetes was decomposed into a direct effect and indirect effects through multiple mediators. Additionally, traditional mediation analysis was performed in a subset of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013–2014. Results EA was inversely associated with type 2 diabetes (OR 0.53 for each 4.2 years of schooling; 95% CI 0.49, 0.56). Individually, the largest contributors were BMI (51.18% mediation; 95% CI 46.39%, 55.98%) and television watching (50.79% mediation; 95% CI 19.42%, 82.15%). Combined, the mediators explained 83.93% (95% CI 70.51%, 96.78%) of the EA–type 2 diabetes association. Traditional analysis yielded smaller effects but showed consistent direction and priority ranking of mediators. Conclusions/interpretation These results support a potentially causal protective effect of EA against type 2 diabetes, with considerable mediation by a number of modifiable risk factors. Interventions on these factors thus have the potential of substantially reducing the burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to low EA. Graphical abstract
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