Baseline resistance to ritonavir or saquinavir or both was associated with a poor antiviral response. Our data suggest that the measurement of drug resistance may assist in optimizing antiretroviral therapy in the clinic.

Background The HIV epidemic in the USA is a collection of diverse local microepidemics. We aimed to identify optimal combination implementation strategies of evidence-based interventions to reach 90% reduction of incidence in 10 years, in six US cities that comprise 24•1% of people living with HIV in the USA. MethodsIn this economic modelling study, we used a dynamic HIV transmission model calibrated with the best available evidence on epidemiological and structural conditions for six US cities: Atlanta (GA), Baltimore (MD), Los Angeles (CA), Miami (FL), New York City (NY), and Seattle (WA). We assessed 23 040 combinations of 16 evidence-based interventions (ie, HIV prevention, testing, treatment, engagement, and re-engagement) to identify combination strategies providing the greatest health benefit while remaining cost-effective. Main outcomes included averted HIV infections, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), total cost (in 2018 US$), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER; from the health-care sector perspective, 3% annual discount rate). Interventions were implemented at previously documented and ideal (90% coverage or adoption) scale-up, and sustained from 2020 to 2030, with outcomes evaluated until 2040. Findings Optimal combination strategies providing health benefit and cost-effectiveness contained between nine (Seattle) and 13 (Miami) individual interventions. If implemented at previously documented scale-up, these strategies could reduce incidence by between 30•7% (95% credible interval 19•1-43•7; Seattle) and 50•1% (41•5-58•0; New York City) by 2030, at ICERs ranging from cost-saving in Atlanta, Baltimore, and Miami, to $95 416 per QALY in Seattle. Incidence reductions reached between 39•5% (26•3-53•8) in Seattle and 83•6% (70•8-87•0) in Baltimore at ideal implementation. Total costs of implementing strategies across the cities at previously documented scale-up reached $559 million per year in 2024; however, costs were offset by long-term reductions in new infections and delayed disease progression, with Atlanta, Baltimore, and Miami projecting cost savings over the 20 year study period.Interpretation Evidence-based interventions can deliver substantial public health and economic value; however, complementary strategies to overcome social and structural barriers to HIV care will be required to reach national targets of the ending the HIV epidemic initiative by 2030.

Background: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimation equations have never been validated in the HIV population. This pilot study aimed to compare all currently available methods of kidney function assessment with nuclear GFR in HIV-infected adults. Methods: Patients underwent GFR measurement with ^99mTc-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (Tc-99m Pentetate), and measured values were compared with results of creatinine-based estimation equations [abbreviated 4-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula and Cockcroft-Gault (CG) formulae], 24-hour urine creatinine clearance and estimated cystatin C GFR. Results: Twenty-seven HIV-infected adults were studied. Most were male and Caucasian, with a mean age of 52 years. Median CD4 was 290 cells/mm³, 70% of patients had HIV RNA <50 copies/ml and all were receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy (median 5 drugs). Median Tc-99m Pentetate-GFR was 91 ml/min/1.73 m². Despite greater bias and similar accuracy, the MDRD formula was more precise than the CG formula, regardless of whether CG estimations were corrected for ideal body weight or body surface area. Relative accuracy within 30% of nuclear GFR was greater for the MDRD formula than for all other methods. The performance of 24-hour urine creatinine clearance was similar to that of the MDRD formula for patients with GFR <90 ml/min/1.73 m², although it performed less well at higher GFR. The performance of cystatin C GFR was inferior to that of all the creatinine-based methods. Conclusions: While no method of kidney function estimation performed highly, both 24-hour urine creatinine clearance and the MDRD formula performed with a level of precision and accuracy sufficient for clinical decision making. Our findings support the preferential use of the MDRD formula in the treated HIV population and suggest that there are no HIV-specific factors that limit equation applicability. Larger validation studies are needed to confirm our findings and allow generalization to the HIV population at large.

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Background. Heterogeneity in HIV microepidemics across US cities necessitates locally oriented, combination implementation strategies to prioritize resources. We calibrated and validated a dynamic, compartmental HIV transmission model to establish a status quo treatment scenario, holding constant current levels of care for 6 US cities. Methods. Built off a comprehensive evidence synthesis, we adapted and extended a previously published model to replicate the transmission, progression, and clinical care for each microepidemic. We identified a common set of 17 calibration targets between 2012 and 2015 and used the Morris method to select the most influential parameters for calibration. We then applied the Nelder-Mead algorithm to iteratively calibrate the model to generate 2000 best-fitting parameter sets. Finally, model projections were internally validated with a series of robustness checks and externally validated against published estimates of HIV incidence, while the face validity of 25-year projections was assessed by a Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC). Results. We documented our process for model development, calibration, and validation to maximize its transparency and reproducibility. The projected outcomes demonstrated a good fit to calibration targets, with a mean goodness-of-fit ranging from 0.0174 (New York City [NYC]) to 0.0861 (Atlanta). Most of the incidence predictions were within the uncertainty range for 5 of the 6 cities (ranging from 21% [Miami] to 100% [NYC]), demonstrating good external validity. The face validity of the long-term projections was confirmed by our SAC, showing that the incidence would decrease or remain stable in Atlanta, Los Angeles, NYC, and Seattle while increasing in Baltimore and Miami. Discussion. This exercise provides a basis for assessing the incremental value of further investments in HIV combination implementation strategies tailored to urban HIV microepidemics.