This is the first study to demonstrate that a diminished nocturnal decline in blood pressure is a risk factor for cardiovascular mortality, independent of the overall blood pressure load during a 24-h period, in the general population.

Background Most studies that have evaluated the association between the body-mass index (BMI) and the risks of death from any cause and from specific causes have been conducted in populations of European origin. Methods We performed pooled analyses to evaluate the association between BMI and the risk of death among more than 1.1 million persons recruited in 19 cohorts in Asia. The analyses included approximately 120,700 deaths that occurred during a mean follow-up period of 9.2 years. Cox regression models were used to adjust for confounding factors. Results In the cohorts of East Asians, including Chinese, Japanese, and Koreans, the lowest risk of death was seen among persons with a BMI (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) in the range of 22.6 to 27.5. The risk was elevated among persons with BMI levels either higher or lower than that range — by a factor of up to 1.5 among those with a BMI of more than 35.0 and by a factor of 2.8 among those with a BMI of 15.0 or less. A similar U-shaped association was seen between BMI and the risks of death from cancer, from cardiovascular diseases, and from other causes. In the cohorts comprising Indians and Bangladeshis, the risks of death from any cause and from causes other than cancer or cardiovascular disease were increased among persons with a BMI of 20.0 or less, as compared with those with a BMI of 22.6 to 25.0, whereas there was no excess risk of either death from any cause or cause-specific death associated with a high BMI. Conclusions Underweight was associated with a substantially increased risk of death in all Asian populations. The excess risk of death associated with a high BMI, however, was seen among East Asians but not among Indians and Bangladeshis.

BackgroundThere is global concern over significant threats from a wide variety of environmental hazards to which children face. Large-scale and long-term birth cohort studies are needed for better environmental management based on sound science. The primary objective of the Japan Environment and Children’s Study (JECS), a nation-wide birth cohort study that started its recruitment in January 2011, is to elucidate environmental factors that affect children’s health and development.Methods/DesignApproximately 100,000 expecting mothers who live in designated study areas will be recruited over a 3-year period from January 2011. Participating children will be followed until they reach 13 years of age. Exposure to environmental factors will be assessed by chemical analyses of bio-specimens (blood, cord blood, urine, breast milk, and hair), household environment measurements, and computational simulations using monitoring data (e.g. ambient air quality monitoring) as well as questionnaires. JECS’ priority outcomes include reproduction/pregnancy complications, congenital anomalies, neuropsychiatric disorders, immune system disorders, and metabolic/endocrine system disorders. Genetic factors, socioeconomic status, and lifestyle factors will also be examined as covariates and potential confounders. To maximize representativeness, we adopted provider-mediated community-based recruitment.DiscussionThrough JECS, chemical substances to which children are exposed during the fetal stage or early childhood will be identified. The JECS results will be translated to better risk assessment and management to provide healthy environment for next generations.

Home blood pressure measurement had a stronger predictive power for mortality than did screening blood pressure measurement for a general population. This appears to be the first study in which the prognostic significances of home and screening blood pressure measurements have been compared.

Abstract-To investigate the association between cardiovascular mortality and short-term variabilities in blood pressure and heart rate, we performed a long-term prospective study of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in Ohasama, Japan, starting in 1987. We obtained ambulatory blood pressure and heart rate in 1542 subjects Ն40 years of age. Blood pressure and heart rate variabilities were estimated as a standard deviation measured every 30 minutes by ambulatory monitoring. There were 67 cardiovascular deaths during the follow-up period (meanϭ8.5 years). The Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted for possible confounding factors, demonstrated a significant increase in cardiovascular mortality, with an increase in daytime systolic ambulatory blood pressure variability. A similar trend was observed in daytime diastolic and nighttime ambulatory blood pressures. Cardiovascular mortality rate increased linearly, with a decrease in daytime heart rate variability. Subjects in whom the daytime systolic ambulatory blood pressure variability was larger than third quintile and the daytime heart rate variability was lower than the meanϪSD were at extremely high risk of cardiovascular mortality. The blood pressure and heart rate variabilities obtained every 30 minutes by ambulatory blood pressure monitoring were independent predictors for cardiovascular mortality in the general population.

Abstract-There is continuing controversy over whether the pattern of circadian blood pressure (BP) variation that includes a nocturnal decline in BP and a morning pressor surge has prognostic significance for stroke risk. In this study, we followed the incidence of stroke in 1430 subjects aged Ն40 years in Ohasama, Japan, for an average of 10.4 years. The association between stroke risk and the pattern of circadian BP variation was analyzed with a Cox proportional hazards model after adjustment for possible confounding factors. There was no significant association between total stroke risk and the nocturnal decline in BP (percentage decline from diurnal level) or between total stroke risk and the morning pressor surge. The cerebral infarction risk was significantly higher in subjects with a Ͻ10% nocturnal decline in BP as compared with subjects who had a Ն10% nocturnal decline in BP (Pϭ0.04). The morning pressor surge was not associated with a risk of cerebral infarction. On the other hand, an increased risk of cerebral hemorrhage was observed in subjects with a large morning pressor surge (Ն25 mm Hg; Pϭ0.04). Intracerebral hemorrhage was also observed more frequently in extreme dippers (those with a Ն20% nocturnal decline in BP) than dippers (those with a 10% to 19% decline; Pϭ0.02). A disturbed nocturnal decline in BP is associated with cerebral infarction, whereas a large morning pressor surge and a large nocturnal decline in BP, which are analogous to a large diurnal increase in BP, are both associated with cerebral hemorrhage.

Abstract-Day-by-day blood pressure and heart rate variability defined as within-subject SDs of home measurements can be calculated from long-term self-measurement. We investigated the prognostic value of day-by-day variability in 2455 Ohasama, Japan, residents (baseline age: 35 to 96 years; 60.4% women). Home blood pressure and heart rate were measured once every morning for 26 days (median). A total of 462 deaths occurred over a median of 11.9 years, composing 168 cardiovascular deaths (stroke: nϭ83; cardiac: nϭ85) and 294 noncardiovascular deaths. Using Cox regression, we computed hazard ratios while adjusting for baseline characteristics, including blood pressure and heart rate level, sex, age, obesity, current smoking and drinking habits, history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and treatment with antihypertensive drugs. An increase in systolic blood pressure variability of ϩ1 between-subject SD was associated with increased hazard ratios for cardiovascular (1.27; Pϭ0.002) and stroke mortality (1.41; Pϭ0.0009) but not for cardiac mortality (1.13; Pϭ0.26). Conversely, heart rate variability was associated with cardiovascular (1.24; Pϭ0.002) and cardiac mortality (1.30; Pϭ0.003) but not stroke mortality (1.17; Pϭ0.12). Similar findings were observed for diastolic blood pressure variability. Additional adjustment of heart rate variability for systolic blood pressure variability and vice versa produced confirmatory results. Coefficient of variation, defined as within-subject SD divided by level of blood pressure or heart rate, displayed similar prognostic value. In conclusion, day-by-day blood pressure variability and heart rate variability by self-measurement at home make up a simple method of providing useful clinical information for assessing cardiovascular risk. Key Words: epidemiology Ⅲ cerebrovascular disease/stroke Ⅲ population science Ⅲ risk factors Ⅲ blood pressure measurement/monitoring H ome blood pressure measurement is reportedly more reliable than conventional blood pressure measurement, because this approach avoids both observer and regression dilution biases and eliminates the white coat effect. 1 Home blood pressure measurement offers more prognostic significance than office blood pressure 2 and is more indicative of target organ damage. 3 The clinical significance of home blood pressure measurement is primarily produced by multiple measurements of blood pressure. 2 These multiple measurements also provide information on day-by-day blood pressure variability under relatively controlled conditions. 4 Previous studies of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring have highlighted that circadian variation 5 and short-term blood pressure variability 6 can predict cardiovascular events above and beyond traditional risk factors. However, no studies have investigated associations between home blood pressure variability and cardiovascular events. We hypothesized that day-by-day blood pressure variability derived from self-measurement at home would provide further insights into pro...

Abstract-The objective of this study was to elucidate the long-term prognostic significance of ambulatory blood pressure.Ambulatory and casual blood pressure values were obtained from 1332 subjects (872 women and 460 men) aged Ն40 years from the general population of a rural Japanese community. Survival was then followed for 14 370 patient years and analyzed by a Cox hazard model adjusted for possible confounding factors. There were 72 cardiovascular deaths during the 10.8-year follow-up. The relationship between 24-hour systolic blood pressure and the cardiovascular mortality risk was U-shaped in the first 5 years, then changed to J-shaped over the rest of the 10.8-year follow-up. After censoring the first 2 years of data, the risk flattened until it again increased for the fifth quintile of 24-hour systolic blood pressure for the 10.8-year follow-up period. For 24-hour diastolic blood pressure, the J-shaped relationship remained unchanged, regardless of follow-up duration and censoring. Ambulatory systolic blood pressure values consistently showed stronger predictive power for cardiovascular mortality risk than did casual systolic blood pressure in the 10.8-year follow-up data, whereas such relationships became more marked after censoring the first 2 years. When nighttime and daytime systolic blood pressure values were simultaneously included in the same Cox model, only nighttime blood pressure significantly predicted the cardiovascular mortality risk for the 10.8-year follow-up data. We conclude that the relationship between ambulatory systolic blood pressure and cardiovascular mortality is not U-shaped or J-shaped, and that nighttime blood pressure has better prognostic value than daytime blood pressure. Key Words: blood pressure monitoring, ambulatory Ⅲ cardiovascular diseases Ⅲ prospective studies A mbulatory blood pressure (BP) has been used widely to diagnose and evaluate hypertension and to monitor treatment in the clinical setting. 1,2 Moreover, ambulatory BP is known to provide more reproducible information than does casual BP for individual patients with hypertension, 3,4 and is more strongly correlated with target-organ damage than casual BP in hypertensive subjects. Furthermore, the international guidelines for hypertension have emphasized the usefulness of ambulatory BP. 5,6 However, in contrast to the plethora of evidence about casual BP, there is still a lack of data that address the long-term prognostic significance of ambulatory BP. Few longitudinal studies, after Ն10 years, have so far examined the relationship between 24-hour BP and prognosis. Since 1987, we have been conducting a prospective cohort study to investigate the relationship between ambulatory BP and survival in the general population of Ohasama, Japan (the Ohasama Study). [7][8][9] In a previous report, we presented the results from a 5.1-year follow-up period. 8 The objective of the present study was to determine the prognostic significance of ambulatory BP for cardiovascular mortality risk based on a longer follow-up period, o...