Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. A Machine Learning (ML) system can predict CVD in the early stages to mitigate mortality rates based on clinical data. Recently, many research works utilized different machine learning approaches to detect CVD or identify the patient's severity level. Although these works obtained promising results, none focused on employing optimization methods to improve the ML model performance for CVD detection and severity-level classification. This study provides an effective method based on the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to handle imbalance distribution issue, six different ML classifiers to detect the patient status, and Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) to find the best hyperparameter for ML classifier together with SMOTE. Two public datasets were used to build and test the model using all features. The results show that SMOTE and Extra Trees (ET) optimized using hyperband achieved higher results than other models and outperformed the state-of-the-art works by achieving 99.2% and 98.52% in CVD detection, respectively. Also, the developed model converged to 95.73% severity classification using the Cleveland dataset. The proposed model can help doctors determine a patient's current heart disease status. As a result, it is possible to prevent heart disease-related mortality by implementing early therapy.
Since the deregulation of the power markets, accurate short term Electricity Price Forecasting (EPF) has become crucial in maximizing economic benefits and mitigating power market risks. Due to the challenging characteristics of electricity price, which comprise high volatility, rapid spike, and seasonality, developing robust machine learning prediction tools becomes cumbersome. This work proposes a new hybrid machine learning method for a day-ahead EPF, which involves linear regression Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) and ensemble bagging Extra Tree Regression (ETR) models. Considering that each model of EPF has its own strengths and weaknesses, combining several models gives more accurate predictions and overcomes the limitations of an individual model. Therefore, the linear ARD model is applied because it can efficiently deal with trend and seasonality variations; on the other hand, the ensemble ETR model is employed to learn from interactions, and thus combining ARD with ETR produces robust forecasting outcomes. The effectiveness of the proposed method was validated using a data set from the Nord Pool electricity market. The proposed model is compared with other models to demonstrate its superiority using performance matrices, such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Experiment results show that the proposed method achieves lower forecasting errors than other individual and hybrid models. Additionally, a comparative study has been performed against previous works, where forecasting measurement of the proposed method outperforms previous works' accuracy in forecasting electricity price.INDEX TERMS Electricity price forecasting, electricity market, hybrid regression models, short-term dayahead prediction, time series analysis.
Nowadays, photovoltaics (PV) has gained popularity among other renewable energy sources because of its excellent features. However, the instability of the system’s output has become a critical problem due to the high PV penetration into the existing distribution system. Hence, it is essential to have an accurate PV power output forecast to integrate more PV systems into the grid and to facilitate energy management further. In this regard, this paper proposes a stacked ensemble algorithm (Stack-ETR) to forecast PV output power one day ahead, utilizing three machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely, random forest regressor (RFR), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), as base models. In addition, an extra trees regressor (ETR) was used as a meta learner to integrate the predictions from the base models to improve the accuracy of the PV power output forecast. The proposed model was validated on three practical PV systems utilizing four years of meteorological data to provide a comprehensive evaluation. The performance of the proposed model was compared with other ensemble models, where RMSE and MAE are considered the performance metrics. The proposed Stack-ETR model surpassed the other models and reduced the RMSE by 24.49%, 40.2%, and 27.95% and MAE by 28.88%, 47.2%, and 40.88% compared to the base model ETR for thin-film (TF), monocrystalline (MC), and polycrystalline (PC) PV systems, respectively.
Network attacks (i.e., man-in-the-middle (MTM) and denial of service (DoS) attacks) allow several attackers to obtain and steal important data from physical connected devices in any network. This research used several machine learning algorithms to prevent these attacks and protect the devices by obtaining related datasets from the Kaggle website for MTM and DoS attacks. After obtaining the dataset, this research applied preprocessing techniques like fill the missing values, because this dataset contains a lot of null values. Then we used four machine learning algorithms to detect these attacks: random forest (RF), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gradient boosting (GB), and decision tree (DT). To assess the performance of the algorithms, there are many classification metrics are used: precision, accuracy, recall, and f1-score. The research achieved the following results in both datasets: i) all algorithms can detect the MTM attack with the same performance, which is greater than 99% in all metrics; and ii) all algorithms can detect the DoS attack with the same performance, which is greater than 97% in all metrics. Results showed that these algorithms can detect MTM and DoS attacks very well, which is prompting us to use their effectiveness in protecting devices from these attacks.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.