A rise in the incidence of bullous pemphigoid (BP) was documented recently in Europe, and the main risk factors for BP remain unknown. We conducted a multicenter case-control study to evaluate risk factors for BP. We identified 201 incident BP cases and 345 controls individually matched for age, gender, center, and place of residence (home, nursing home, or extended-care facility). We used univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to compare drugs used for over 3 months, comorbidities, and physical and cognitive impairments between cases and controls. Mean age of BP patients was 84.2 (±8.7) years. Factors independently associated with BP by multivariate analysis were major cognitive impairment (odds ratio (OR), 2.19; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.24-3.87), bedridden condition (OR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.23-3.89), Parkinson's disease (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.09-4.27), unipolar or bipolar disorder (OR, 5.25; 95% CI, 1.21-22.86), and chronic use of spironolactone (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.20-4.46) or phenothiazines with aliphatic side chains (OR, 3.70; 95% CI, 1.21-11.34). Chronic analgesic use was associated with a lower risk of BP (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.30-0.81). Thus, risk factors for BP include neurological disorders, particularly dementia and Parkinson's disease, psychiatric disorders (unipolar and bipolar disorders), bedridden condition, and chronic use of several drugs.

Superpotent topical corticosteroids (CS) have been demonstrated to improve bullous pemphigoid (BP) patients' survival. We assessed whether a mild regimen using lower doses of topical CS and a shorter duration could improve the outcome of BP patients even more. Three-hundred and twelve BP patients were included in a multicenter randomized controlled trial and stratified depending on the extent of BP as moderate (n=134) or extensive (n=178). Patients were randomly assigned to the standard regimen (clobetasol propionate cream, 40 g per day initially, with CS tapering over 12 months) or the mild regimen (10-30 g per day), with CS tapering over 4 months. A noninferior rate of BP control was obtained with the mild regimen 156/159 (98%) as compared with the standard regimen 150/150 (100%; P=0.005). Event-free survival, that is, the combined outcome of deaths and life-threatening adverse events did not differ between the two treatment groups (P=0.77). However, upon adjusting through the Cox model for age and Karnofsky score, a strong beneficial effect of the mild regimen was observed in patients with moderate BP, with an almost twofold decrease in the risk of death or life-threatening adverse events relative to the standard regimen (hazard ratio=0.54; 95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.97; P=0.039). This mild regimen allows a 70% reduction of the cumulative doses of CS and improves BP patients' outcome.

To identify the prognostic factors of bullous pemphigoid (BP).Design: Prospective study of patients with BP included in a randomized, controlled trial.Setting: Twenty dermatology departments in France.Patients: One hundred seventy patients with BP initially treated with a 40-g/d dosage of clobetasol propionate cream (testing sample) and 171 patients initially treated with oral corticosteroids at a dosage of 0.5 or of 1.0 mg/kg per day, depending on the extent of BP (validation samples). Main Outcome Measures:The end point was overall survival during the first year after BP diagnosis. From the testing sample, associations of clinical and biological variables with overall survival were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses. Selected predictors were included in a prognostic model. To verify that these predictors were not dependent on the treatment used, the model was then validated independently on the 2 series of BP patients treated with oral corticosteroids.Results: Median age of the BP patients included in the testing sample was 83 years. The 1-year Kaplan-Meier survival rate was 74%. From univariate analysis, the main deleterious predictors were demographic factors (ie, older age and female sex), associated medical conditions (ie, cardiac insufficiency, history of stroke, and dementia), and low Karnofsky score, which is a measure of the patient's general condition. No factors directly related to BP, in particular extent of cutaneous lesions, were shown to be related to the patients' prognosis. From multivariate analysis, only older age (P =.02) and low Karnofsky score (PϽ.001) appeared independently predictive of death. From the Cox model including these 2 predictors, the predicted 1-year survival rates were 90% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85%-96%) for patients 83 years or younger with Karnofsky score greater than 40, 79% (95% CI, 69%-90%) for patients older than 83 years with Karnofsky score greater than 40, 65% (95% CI, 50%-86%) for patients 83 years or younger with Karnofsky score of 40 or less, and 38% (95% CI, 26%-57%) for patients older than 83 years with Karnofsky score of 40 or less. Kaplan-Meier survival distributions of patients from the validation samples appeared clearly separated according to these 4 categories and were in close agreement with corresponding predicted 1-year survival rates obtained from the testing sample. Conclusions:The prognosis of patients with BP is influenced by age and Karnofsky score. These predictors are easy to use and should facilitate the management of BP.

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SummaryBackground There is an unmet need to identify markers predictive of response to ipilimumab in patients with melanoma because the number of responders to ipilimumab is low and its cost is very high. An increase in absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) or low neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) just before the third infusion has been reported to be associated with better overall survival (OS). Objectives Our aim was to determine whether NLR measured before the first infusion was associated with OS. Patients and methods Data were collected on a consecutive series of 58 patients treated with ipilimumab in four hospitals, including 51 at stage M1c and four at stage M1b. The influences of the NLR and other factors such as lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), performance status, ALC, absolute neutrophil count (ANC) and corticosteroids on survival were studied. We also assessed this association with NLR categorized as a binary variable. The cut-off value for the NLR was determined with time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox regression models. Results High NLR (≥) 4, high ANC LDH levels (>2), performance status ≥2, symptomatic brain metastases, and corticosteroids before week 1 were associated with poorer survival on univariate analysis. Using multivariate analysis, a significant association between high NLR (continuous variable) and poorer survival was demonstrated and remained significant after adjustment on potential confounders [hazard ratio (HR) = 1Á21, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1Á07-1Á36]. NLR ≥4 was an independent prognostic factor (HR = 2Á2, 95% CI 1Á01-4Á78). Intake of corticosteroids before week 1 was not an independent prognostic factor (HR = 1Á28, 95% CI 0Á54-3Á06). Conclusions High NLR (≥4) before initiating ipilimumab treatment in patients with metastatic melanoma is an independent prognostic indicator of poor survival.