A prospective population-based study was carried out to determine predictive factors associated with penicillin-resistant pneumococcal invasive disease. A total of 374 patients (250 males and 124 females; mean age, 50.3 +/- 27 years) with invasive pneumococcal infection were admitted to one of the five hospitals in El Vallés County (an industrial area with 800,000 inhabitants in the province of Barcelona, Spain) over a period of 5 years. Of the 374 episodes, 21 (5.6%) were due to highly penicillin-resistant pneumococci and 67 (17.9%) to intermediately penicillin-resistant pneumococci. Multivariate analysis showed a statistically significant association between infection with intermediately penicillin-resistant pneumococci and an age of 0-4 years (odds ratio [OR] = 5.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.2-12.6), the presence of an immunosuppressive underlying disease (OR = 3.0; 95% CI = 1.5-6.0), and the previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics (OR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.0-4.5). Infection with highly penicillin-resistant pneumococci was associated only with the previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics (OR = 5.9; 95% 95% CI = 2.2-15.8). Highly resistant strains were of serotypes 6, 9, 14, 15, 19, and 23, of which all but serotypes 9 and 15 are included in the newly formulated conjugated vaccine.

The main prognostic factors in a patient with bacteremia were the presence of shock, impaired functional status, immunodeficiency state, acquisition of infection in the hospital, and absence of fever on admission. Age alone did not influence outcome.

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