BackgroundIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a respiratory disorder with a poor prognosis. Our objective is to assess the comparative effectiveness of 22 approved or studied IPF drug treatments.MethodsWe searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and clinicaltrials.gov from inception to 2 April 2021. We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) for adult patients with IPF receiving one or more of 22 drug treatments. Pairs of reviewers independently identified randomised trials that compared one or more of the target medical treatments in patients with IPF. We assessed the certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach for network meta-analysis. We calculated pooled relative risk (RR) ratios and presented direct or network estimates with 95% credibility intervals (95% CI), within the GRADE framework.ResultsWe identified 48 (10 326 patients) eligible studies for analysis. Nintedanib [RR 0.69 (0.44 to 1.1), pirfenidone [RR 0.63 (0.37 to 1.09); direct estimate), and sildenafil [RR (0.44 (0.16 to 1.09)] probably reduce mortality (all moderate certainty). Nintedanib (2.92% (1.51 to 4.14)), nintedanib+sildenafil (157 mL (–88.35 to 411.12)), pirfenidone (2.47% (–0.1 to 5)), pamrevlumab (4.3% (0.5 to 8.1)) and pentraxin (2.74% (1 to 4.83)) probably reduce decline of overall forced vital capacity (all moderate certainty). Only sildenafil probably reduces acute exacerbation and hospitalisations (moderate certainty). Corticosteroids+azathioprine+N-acetylcysteine increased risk of serious adverse events versus placebo (high certainty).Conclusion and relevanceFuture guidelines should consider sildenafil for IPF and further research needs to be done on promising IPF treatments such as pamrevlumab and pentraxin as phase 3 trials are completed.

Most trials addressing the treatment of patients with COVID-19 have targeted patients admitted to hospital with severe or critical disease. 1 However, more recently, several treatments, including antiviral drugs, antidepressants, monoclonal anti bodies and inhaled corticosteroids, have been studied for patients with nonsevere COVID-19. 2 Preliminary evidence from ongoing or recently completed trials suggests that 2 novel antiviral drugsmolnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) -may be effective at reducing risk of hospital admission. [3][4][5] To date, evidence on antiviral drugs for nonsevere COVID-19 has not been systematically synthesized or appraised. Furthermore, although efficacy data from trials of molnupiravir, nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir are promising, no head-to-head trials have compared these drugs.A network meta-analysis allows for comparison of treatments that have not been compared in randomized controlled trials (RCTs), using pooled estimates from direct and indirect evidence.They can provide guidance to clinicians and evidence users in determining which treatments are superior. This is particularly important as health care systems attempt to prioritize access to effective COVID-19 treatments in the early stages of the disease.We sought to compare the effectiveness of antiviral drugs for patients with nonsevere COVID-19. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and network meta-analysis, that included a rigorous appraisal of the evidence. We registered a protocol on Open Science Framework and uploaded the data used for this analysis (https://osf.io/zbcf9). We report our systematic review and network meta-analysis in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) extension statement for reporting of sys tematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses. 6