In an attempt to reduce the infection rate of the COrona VIrus Disease-19 (Covid-19) countries around the world have echoed the exigency for an economical, accessible, point-of-need diagnostic test to identify Covid-19 carriers so that they (individuals who test positive) can be advised to self isolate rather than the entire community. Availability of a quick turnaround time diagnostic test would essentially mean that life, in general, can return to normality-at-large. In this regards, studies concurrent in time with ours have investigated different respiratory sounds, including cough, to recognise potential Covid-19 carriers. However, these studies lack clinical control and rely on Internet users confirming their test results in a web questionnaire (crowdsourcing) thus rendering their analysis inadequate. We seek to evaluate the detection performance of a primary screening tool of Covid-19 solely based on the cough sound from 8,380 clinically validated samples with laboratory molecular-test (2,339 Covid-19 positive and 6,041 Covid-19 negative) under quantitative RT-PCR (qRT-PCR) from certified laboratories. All collected samples were clinically labelled, i.e. Covid-19 positive or negative, according to the results in addition to the disease severity based on the qRT-PCR threshold cycle (Ct) and lymphocytes count from the patients. Our proposed generic method is an algorithm based on Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) for cough sound detection with subsequent classification based on a tensor of audio sonographs and deep artificial neural network classifier with convolutional layers called 'DeepCough'. Two different versions of DeepCough based on the number of tensor dimensions, i.e. DeepCough2D and DeepCough3D, have been investigated. These methods have been deployed in a multi-platform prototype web-app 'CoughDetect'.Covid-19 recognition results rates achieved a promising AUC (Area Under Curve) of 98.80% ± 0.83%, sensitivity of 96.43% ± 1.85%, and specificity of 96.20% ± 1.74% and average AUC of 81.08% ± 5.05% for the recognition of three severity levels. Our proposed web tool as a pointof-need primary diagnostic test for Covid-19 facilitates the rapid detection of the infection. We believe it has the potential to significantly hamper the Covid-19 pandemic across the world.
We identified a number of modifiable factors, including baseline dyspnea, physical activity level, and hospital variability, that influenced the LOS of patients with eCOPD who were admitted to the hospital.
BackgroundCreating an easy-to-use instrument to identify predictors of short-term (30/60-day) mortality after an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (eCOPD) could help clinicians choose specific measures of medical care to decrease mortality in these patients. The objective of this study was to develop and validate a classification and regression tree (CART) to predict short term mortality among patients evaluated in an emergency department (ED) for an eCOPD.MethodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study including participants from 16 hospitals in Spain. COPD patients with an exacerbation attending the emergency department (ED) of any of the hospitals between June 2008 and September 2010 were recruited. Patients were randomly divided into derivation (50 %) and validation samples (50 %). A CART based on a recursive partitioning algorithm was created in the derivation sample and applied to the validation sample.ResultsTwo thousand four hundred eighty-seven patients, 1252 patients in the derivation sample and 1235 in the validation sample, were enrolled in the study. Based on the results of the univariate analysis, five variables (baseline dyspnea, cardiac disease, the presence of paradoxical breathing or use of accessory inspiratory muscles, age, and Glasgow Coma Scale score) were used to build the CART. Mortality rates 30 days after discharge ranged from 0 % to 55 % in the five CART classes. The lowest mortality rate was for the branch composed of low baseline dyspnea and lack of cardiac disease. The highest mortality rate was in the branch with the highest baseline dyspnea level, use of accessory inspiratory muscles or paradoxical breathing upon ED arrival, and Glasgow score <15. The area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC) in the derivation sample was 0.835 (95 % CI: 0.783, 0.888) and 0.794 (95 % CI: 0.723, 0.865) in the validation sample. CART was improved to predict 60-days mortality risk by adding the Charlson Comorbidity Index, reaching an AUC in the derivation sample of 0.817 (95 % CI: 0.776, 0.859) and 0.770 (95 % CI: 0.716, 0.823) in the validation sample.ConclusionsWe identified several easy-to-determine variables that allow clinicians to classify eCOPD patients by short term mortality risk, which can provide useful information for establishing appropriate clinical care.Trial registrationNCT02434536.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12931-015-0313-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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