Anaemia is a common consequence of chronic kidney disease (CKD); however, the risk factors for its development and its impact on outcomes have not been well synthesised. Therefore, we undertook a systematic review to fully characterise the risk factors associated with the presence of anaemia in patients with CKD and a contemporary synthesis of the risks of adverse outcomes in patients with CKD and anaemia. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from 2002 until 2018 for studies reporting the incidence or prevalence of anaemia and associated risk factors and/or associations between haemoglobin (Hb) or anaemia and mortality, major adverse cardiac events (MACE), hospitalisation, or CKD progression in adult patients with CKD. Extracted data were summarised as risk factors related to the incidence or prevalence of anaemia or the risk (hazard ratio (HR)) of outcome by Hb level (<10, 10–12, >12 g/dL) in patients not on dialysis and in those receiving dialysis. 191 studies met the predefined inclusion criteria. The risk factor most associated with the prevalence of anaemia was CKD stage, followed by age and sex. Mean HRs (95% CI) for all-cause mortality in patients with CKD on dialysis with Hb <10, 10–12, and >12 g/dL were 1.56 (1.43–1.71), 1.17 (1.09–1.26), and 0.91 (0.87–0.96), respectively. Similar patterns were observed for nondialysis patients and for the risks of hospitalisation, MACE, and CKD progression. This is the first known systematic review to quantify the risk of adverse clinical outcomes based on Hb level in patients with CKD. Anaemia was consistently associated with greater mortality, hospitalisation, MACE, and CKD progression in patients with CKD, and risk increased with anaemia severity. Effective treatments that not only treat the anaemia but also reduce the risk of adverse clinical outcomes are essential to help reduce the burden of anaemia and its management in CKD.

Aims At present, the clinical burden of hypokalaemia and hyperkalaemia among European heart failure patients, and relationships between serum potassium and adverse clinical outcomes in this population, is not well characterized. The aim of this study was to investigate associations between mortality, major adverse cardiac events, and renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system inhibitor (RAASi) discontinuation across serum potassium levels, in a UK cohort of incident heart failure patients. Methods and results This was a retrospective observational cohort study of newly diagnosed heart failure patients listed in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, with a first record of heart failure (index date) between 2006 and 2015. Hypokalaemia and hyperkalaemia episodes were defined as the number of serum potassium measurements exceeding each threshold (<3.5, ≥5.0, ≥5.5, and ≥6.0 mmol/L), without such a measurement in the preceding 7 days. Risk equations developed using Poisson generalized estimating equations were utilized to estimate adjusted incident rate ratios (IRRs) relating serum potassium and clinical outcomes (death, major adverse cardiac event, and RAASi discontinuation). Among 21,334 eligible heart failure patients, 1969 (9.2%), 7648 (35.9%), 2725 (12.8%), and 763 (3.6%) experienced episodes of serum potassium <3.5, ≥5.0, ≥5.5, and ≥6.0 mmol/L, respectively. The adjusted IRRs for mortality exhibited a U‐shaped association pattern with serum potassium. Relative to the reference category (4.5 to <5.0 mmol/L), adjusted IRRs for mortality were estimated as 1.98 (95% confidence interval: 1.69–2.33), 1.23 (1.12–1.36), 1.35 (1.14–1.60), and 3.02 (2.28–4.02), for patients with serum potassium <3.5, ≥5.0 to <5.5, ≥5.5 to <6.0, and ≥6.0 mmol/L, respectively. The adjusted IRRs for major adverse cardiac events demonstrated a non‐statistically significant relationship with serum potassium. Discontinuation of RAASi therapy exhibited a J‐shaped trend in association with serum potassium. Compared with the reference category (4.5 to <5.0 mmol/L), adjusted IRRs were estimated as 1.07 (0.89–1.28) in patients with serum potassium <3.5 mmol/L, increasing to 1.32 (1.14–1.53) and 2.19 (1.63–2.95) among those with serum potassium ≥5.5 to <6.0 and ≥6.0 mmol/L, respectively. Conclusions In UK patients with new onset heart failure, both hypokalaemia and hyperkalaemia were associated with increased mortality risk, and hyperkalaemia was associated with increased likelihood of RAASi discontinuation. Our results demonstrate the potential importance of serum potassium monitoring for heart failure outcomes and management.

BackgroundTo address a current paucity of European data, this study developed equations to predict risks of mortality, major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and renin angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor (RAASi) discontinuation using time-varying serum potassium and other covariates, in a UK cohort of chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.MethodsThis was a retrospective observational study of adult CKD patients listed on the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, with a first record of CKD (stage 3a–5, pre-dialysis) between 2006 and 2015. Patients with heart failure at index were excluded. Risk equations developed using Poisson Generalized Estimating Equations were utilised to estimate adjusted incident rate ratios (IRRs) between serum potassium and adverse outcomes, and identify other predictive clinical factors.ResultsAmong 191,964 eligible CKD patients, 86,691 (45.16%), 30,629 (15.96%) and 9440 (4.92%) experienced at least one hyperkalaemia episode, when defined using serum potassium concentrations 5.0–< 5.5 mmol/L, 5.5–< 6.0 mmol/L and ≥ 6.0 mmol/L, respectively. Relative to the reference category (4.5 to < 5.0 mmol/L), adjusted IRRs for mortality and MACE exhibited U-shaped associations with serum potassium, with age being the most important predictor of both outcomes (P < 0.0001). A J-shaped association between serum potassium and RAASi discontinuation was observed; estimated glomerular filtration rate was most predictive of RAASi discontinuation (P < 0.0001).ConclusionsHyperkalaemia was associated with increased mortality and RAASi discontinuation risk. These risk equations represent a valuable tool to predict clinical outcomes among CKD patients; and identify those likely to benefit from strategies that treat hyperkalaemia, prevent RAASi discontinuation, and effectively manage serum potassium levels.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1186/s12882-018-1007-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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Understanding predictors and trajectories of increased potassium may inform testing and treatment of hyperkalemia. We examined predictors for repeated hyperkalemia among patients after first-time renin angiotensin system inhibitor (RASi) prescription, chronic kidney disease (CKD), or chronic heart failure (CHF); and we also examined potassium trajectories in these patients after their first hyperkalemia event. We used Danish population-based registries to identify all patients with first-time RASi prescription, incident CKD, or incident CHF (2000–2012). For patients with a first hyperkalemia event, potassium trajectories over the following 6 months were examined. The predictors associated with repeated hyperkalemia were assessed, with repeated hyperkalemia defined as a potassium test >5.0 mmol/L after the first event within 6 months. Overall 262,375 first-time RASi users, 157,283 incident CKD patients, and 14,600 incident CHF patients were included. Of patients with a first hyperkalemia event, repeated hyperkalemia within 6 months occurred in 37% of RASi users, 40% with CKD, and 49% of patients with CHF. Predictors included severe hyperkalemia, low eGFR, diabetes, and spironolactone use. In all cohorts, the median potassium levels declined over 2–4 weeks after a hyperkalemia event for the first time, but reverted to levels higher than before the initial hyperkalemia event in those who had repeated hyperkalemia. Following hyperkalemia, discontinuation of RASi and spironolactone was common in the RASi and CHF cohorts. Repeated hyperkalemia was common among the explored cohorts. The first hyperkalemia event was an indicator of increased median potassium levels. Predictors may identify patients likely to benefit from intensified monitoring and intervention.