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Context Autism is considered the most heritable of neurodevelopmental disorders, mainly because of the large difference in concordance rates between monozygotic and dizygotic twins. Objective To provide rigorous quantitative estimates of genetic heritability of autism and the effects of shared environment. Design, Setting, and Participants Twin pairs with at least 1 twin with an autism spectrum disorder (ASD) born between 1987 and 2004were identified through the California Department of Developmental Services. Main Outcome Measures Structured diagnostic assessments (Autism Diagnostic Interview–Revised and Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule) were completed on 192 twin pairs. Concordance rates were calculated and parametric models were fitted for 2 definitions, 1 narrow (strict autism) and 1 broad (ASD). Results For strict autism, probandwise concordance for male twins was 0.58 for 40 monozygotic pairs (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42–0.74) and 0.21 for 31 dizygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.09–0.43); for female twins, the concordance was 0.60 for 7 monozygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.28–0.90) and 0.27 for 10 dizygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.09–0.69). For ASD, the probandwise concordance for male twins was 0.77 for 45 monozygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.65–0.86) and 0.31 for 45 dizygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.16–0.46); for female twins, the concordance was 0.50 for 9 monozygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.16–0.84) and 0.36 for 13 dizygotic pairs (95% CI, 0.11–0.60). A large proportion of the variance in liability can be explained by shared environmental factors (55%; 95% CI, 9%–81% for autism and 58%; 95% CI, 30%–80% for ASD) in addition to moderate genetic heritability (37%; 95% CI, 8%–84% for autism and 38%; 95% CI, 14%–67% for ASD). Conclusion Susceptibility to ASD has moderate genetic heritability and a substantial shared twin environmental component.

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Recurrent microdeletions and microduplications of a 600 kb genomic region of chromosome 16p11.2 have been implicated in childhood-onset developmental disorders1-3. Here we report the strong association of 16p11.2 microduplications with schizophrenia in two large cohorts. In the primary sample, the microduplication was detected in 12/1906 (0.63%) cases and 1/3971 (0.03%) controls (P=1.2×10-5, OR=25.8). In the replication sample, the microduplication was detected in 9/2645 (0.34%) cases and 1/2420 (0.04%) controls (P=0.022, OR=8.3). For the series combined, microduplication of 16p11.2 was associated with 14.5-fold increased risk of schizophrenia (95% C.I. [3.3, 62]). A meta-analysis of multiple psychiatric disorders showed a significant association of the microduplication with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and autism. The reciprocal microdeletion was associated only with autism and developmental disorders. Analysis of patient clinical data showed that head circumference was significantly larger in patients with the microdeletion compared with patients with the microduplication (P = 0.0007). Our results suggest that the microduplication of 16p11.2 confers substantial risk for schizophrenia and other psychiatric disorders, whereas the reciprocal microdeletion is associated with contrasting clinical features.