Background The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for predicting in-hospital and 6 months mortality after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Results In this observational study, 300 patients with NSTE-ACS of age more than 30 years were included; 16 patients died during the hospital stay (5.3%). Of 284 patients at 6 months assessment, 10 patients died (3.5%), 240 survived (84.5%), and 34 were lost to follow-up (12%) respectively. In high risk category, 10.5% of the patients died within hospital stay and 11.8% died within 6 months (p = 0.001 and p = 0.013). In univariate analysis, gender, diabetes mellitus, family history, smoking, and GRACE score were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality whereas age, obesity, dyslipidemia, and GRACE were significantly associated with 6 months mortality. After adjustment, diabetes mellitus, family history, and GRACE score remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (p ≤ 0.05) and age remained significantly associated with 6 months mortality. Conclusion GRACE risk score has good predictive value for the prediction of in-hospital mortality and 6 months mortality among patients with NSTE-ACS.
Objectives The Zwolle risk score (ZRS) has been considered to be a useful tool for the systematic evaluation of patients for early discharge after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Therefore, aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical utility of ZRS for the same-day discharge strategy after primary PCI at a tertiary care cardiac center of Karachi, Pakistan. Methods This study was conducted at a tertiary care cardiac center between August 2019 and July 2020. Patients discharged within 24 h (same-day) of the primary PCI procedure were included. Patients were stratified as high- and low-risk based on ZRS score; low-risk (≤3) and high-risk (≥4). All patients were followed during 30-days post-procedure period for major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Results Out of 487 patients, 83.2% (405) were male and mean age was 54.6 ± 10.87 years. Mean ZRS was 2.34 ± 1.64 with 16.0% (78) patients in high-risk (≥4) group. 30-days MACE rate was observed to be 5.3% (26) with significantly higher rate among high-risk patients as compared to low-risk patients 12.8% (10) vs. 3.9% (16); p = 0.004 respectively with OR of 3.61 [1.57–8.29]. The area under the curve (AUC) of ZRS for prediction of 30-day MACE was 0.67 [95% CI: 0.58–0.77], ZRS ≥4 had sensitivity of 38.5% and specificity of 85.2% with AUC of 0.62 [95% CI: 0.50–0.74] for prediction of 30-day MACE. Conclusion ZRS showed moderate discriminating potential in identifying patients with high-risk of MACE at 30-day after same-day discharge after primary PCI.
ObjectiveKnowledge regarding the short-term outcomes after same-day discharge (SDD) post primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is lacking. In this study, we evaluated 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among SDD patients after primary PCI.Design1-year follow-up analysis of a subset of patients from an existing prospective cohort study.SettingTertiary care cardiac hospital in Karachi, Pakistan.ParticipantsConsecutive patients, from August 2019 to July 2020, with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction who had undergone primary PCI with SDD (within 24 hours) after the procedure by the treating physician and with at least one successful follow-up up to 1 year.Outcome measureCumulative MACE during follow-up at the intervals of 1 week, 1 month, 6 months and 1 year.Results489 patients were included, with a gender distribution of 83.2% (407) male patients and a mean age of 54.58±10.85 years. Overall MACE rate during the mean follow-up duration of 326.98±76.71 days was 10.8% (53), out of which 26.4% (14/53) events occurred within 6 months of discharge and the remaining 73.6% (39/53) occurred between 6 months and 1 year. MACE was significantly higher among patients with a Zwolle Risk Score (ZRS) ≥4 at baseline, with an incidence rate of 21.9% (16/73) vs 8.9% (37/416; p=0.001) in patients with ZRS≤3 (relative risk 2.88 (95% CI 1.5 to 5.5)).ConclusionA significant burden of short-term MACE was identified among SDD patients after primary PCI; most of these events occurred after 6 months of SDD, mainly among patients with ZRS≥4. A systematic risk assessment based on risk stratification modalities such ZRS could be a viable option for SDD patients with primary PCI.
Objectives Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains recommended reperfusion therapy for patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction. This study aimed to evaluate the short-term major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and their determinants among patients who underwent primary PCI at a tertiary care cardiac center of Karachi, Pakistan. Methods A cohort of patients who underwent primary PCI were followed for the MACE. Multivariable Cox-regression analysis was performed with backward conditional variable selection and hazard ratio (HR) along with 95% confidence interval (CI) were obtained. Results A total of 1150 patients were included, of which follow-up was successful in 95.8% (1102) and median follow-up duration was 6.1 [6.9–5.1] months. MACE were observed in 210 (19.1%) patients with 14.2% (157) all-cause mortality, 5.4% (60) cardiac mortality, 0.7% (8) stroke, 3.6% (40) re-hospitalization due to heart failure, and 6.1% (67) myocardial infarction requiring revascularization. Independent predictors of short-term MACE were found to be admission glucose ≥200 mg/dL (1.66 [1.25–2.21]), serum creatinine ≥1.5 mg/dL (1.52 [1.02–2.27]), intubation (2.81 [1.98–4.00]), history of PCI (2.06 [1.45–2.93]), history of cerebrovascular accident (2.64 [1.34–5.2]), left ventricular end-diastolic pressure ≥20 mmHg (1.81 [1.3–2.51]), triple vessel diseases (1.43 [1.08–1.9]), culprit left main or proximal left anterior descending artery (1.77 [1.32–2.35]), pre-ballooning (2.14 [1.2–3.82]), and thrombus grade ≥4 (2.21 [1.51–3.24]). Conclusions A significant number of individuals undergone primary PCI are still vulnerable to subsequent short-term MACE, hence, systematic follow-up and early risk stratification should be considered as an integral part of STEMI management protocol specially for patients with high-risk features as highlighted herein.
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