Heterogeneous data collection in the marine environment has led to large gaps in our knowledge of marine species distributions. To fill these gaps, models calibrated on existing data may be used to predict species distributions in unsampled areas, given that available data are sufficiently representative. Our objective was to evaluate the feasibility of mapping cetacean densities across the entire Mediterranean Sea using models calibrated on available survey data and various environmental covariates. We aggregated 302,481 km of line transect survey effort conducted in the Mediterranean Sea within the past 20 years by many organisations. Survey coverage was highly heterogeneous geographically and seasonally: large data gaps were present in the eastern and southern Mediterranean and in non-summer months. We mapped the extent of interpolation versus extrapolation and the proportion of data nearby in environmental space when models calibrated on existing survey data were used for prediction across the entire Mediterranean Sea. Using model predictions to map cetacean densities in the eastern and southern Mediterranean, characterised by warmer, less productive waters, and more intense eddy activity, would lead to potentially unreliable extrapolations. We stress the need for systematic surveys of cetaceans in these environmentally unique Mediterranean waters, particularly in non-summer months.
We consider the challenge of tracking and estimating the size of a single submerged target in a high reverberant underwater environment using a single active acoustic transceiver. This problem is common for a multitude of applications, ranging from the security and safety needs of tracking submerged vehicles and scuba divers, to environmental research and management implications such as the monitoring of pelagic fauna. Considering that the target can be either slow (e.g., a scuba diver) or fastmoving (e.g., a shark), we avoid continuous signalling, and rely on the emission of wideband pulses whose reflection pattern are evaluated and reshaped in a time-distance matrix. As opposed to common approaches that track targets through template matching or by using tracking filters, we avoid making difficult assumptions about the target's reflection patterns or motion type, and instead perform probabilistic tracking using a constraint Viterbi algorithm, whereby detection is determined based on maximum likelihood criterion. In this process, we use the expectation-maximization (EM) approach to manage stationary reflections through distribution analysis, which otherwise may be misidentified as targets. Based on the tracked path, we then evaluate the target's size. To test our approach, we performed extensive simulations as well as eight sea experiments in different environmental settings to track both a scuba diver and a sandbar shark (Carcharhinus plumbeus). The simulation results show a tracking performance that is close to the Cramér-Rao lower bound, and the experiment results show a good trade-off between detection rate and false alarm rate for a low signal-to-clutter ratio of 5 [dB], and average tracking error of 1.5 [m] and 6.5 [m] in the detections of a scuba diver and sandbar shark, respectively. For reproducibility, we share our sea experiment data.
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