No abstract

Cities worldwide are facing ever-increasing pressure to develop mitigation strategies for all sectors to deal with the impacts of climate change. Cities are expected to house 70% of the world’s population by 2050, and developing related resilient health systems is a significant challenge. Because of their physical nature, cities’ surface temperatures are often substantially higher than that of the surrounding rural areas, generating the so-called Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. Whilst considerable emphasis has been placed on strategies to mitigate against the UHI-associated negative health effects of heat and pollution in cities, mosquito-borne diseases have largely been ignored. However, the World Health Organization estimates that one of the main consequences of global warming will be an increased burden of mosquito-borne diseases, many of which have an urban facet to their epidemiology and thus the global population exposed to these pathogens will steadily increase. Current health mitigation strategies for heat and pollution, for example, may, however, be detrimental for mosquito-borne diseases. Implementation of multi-sectoral strategies that can benefit many sectors (such as water, labor, and health) do exist or can be envisaged and would enable optimal use of the meagre resources available. Discussion among multi-sectoral stakeholders should be actively encouraged.

Background: In the midst of competing priorities and limited resources in low-middle-income countries (LMIC), convincing epidemiological evidence is critical for urging governments to develop national dementia plans. The majority of primary epidemiological studies on dementia are from high income countries (HIC). Implications for developing countries are typically extrapolated from these outcomes through modeling, meta-analyses, and systematic reviews. In this study, we directly assessed the incidence of dementia, disability adjusted life years (DALYs), and cost of care among community-dwelling Filipino elderly.Methods: This was a follow-up study of the prospective cohort Marikina Memory Ageing Project (MMAP). Baseline assessment was performed in 2011–2012, and follow-up was done in 2015–2016 (N = 748 at follow-up). Incident dementia was determined. Disease burden was computed using the incidence rates and DALYs. Both indirect and direct (medical and non-medical) costs of dementia care were computed.Results: The crude incidence rate was 16 (CI: 13–20) cases per 1,000 person-years (pyr) with 17 (CI: 12–21) per 1,000 pyr for females and 14 (CI: 9–21) per 1,000 pyr for males. Based on this incidence, we project an estimation of 220,632 new cases in 2030, 295,066 in 2040, and 378,461 in 2050. Disease burden was at 2,876 DALYsper 100,000 persons. The economic burden per patient was around Php 196,000 annually (i.e., ~4,070 USD, or 36.7% of average family annual income in the Philippines). The majority (86.29%) of this care expense was indirect cost attributed to estimated lost potential earning of unpaid family caregivers whereas direct medical cost accounted for only 13.48%.Conclusions: We provide the first Filipino community-based data on the incidence of dementia, DALYs, and cost of care to reflect the epidemiologic and economic impact of disease. The findings of this study serve to guide the development of a national dementia plan.

No abstract