Insights into long-term mortality, especially into the cause of death after initial recovery from an episode of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), may help in determining optimal preventive measures in such patients. Prospective observational cohort studies were conducted to compare cause-specific long-term mortality rates for 356 patients who had recovered from CAP with those of the general Dutch population (16.3 million) between 2003 and 2007. The Dutch Municipal Public Records Database and death certificates were used to determine cause-specific mortality rates up to 7 years after discharge. In patients who had recovered from CAP, cumulative 1-year, 5-year and 7-year mortality rates were 17%, 43% and 53%, respectively, as compared with 4%, 19% and 24% for an age-matched and sex-matched population reference cohort. Overall, patients who had recovered from CAP had significantly higher long-term mortality than matched population controls (rate ratio (RR) 3.6; p <0.001). In the years after an episode of CAP, malignancy (27%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (19%) and cardiovascular disease (16%) were the most frequent causes of death. Only 6% died of pneumonia, as compared with 3.2% in the general population. After initial recovery from an episode of CAP, long-term mortality rates are more than three times as high as in the general population. The causes of long-term mortality were mostly comorbidity-related, and significantly different from those in the general population. After an episode of CAP, optimization of treatment of comorbidities, such as treatment for COPD, might improve long-term survival rates.

BACKGROUNDChest radiographs are often used to diagnose community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), to monitor response to treatment and to ensure complete resolution of pneumonia. However, radiological exams may not reflect the actual clinical condition of the patient.OBJECTIVETo compare the radiographic resolution of mild to moderately severe CAP to resolution of clinical symptoms as assessed by the physician or rated by the patient.DESIGNProspective cohort study.PARTICIPANTSOne hundred nineteen patients admitted because of mild to moderately severe CAP with new pulmonary opacities.MAIN MEASURESRadiographic resolution and clinical cure of CAP were determined at day 10 and 28. Radiographic resolution was defined as the absence of infection-related abnormalities; clinical cure was rated by the physician and defined by improvement of signs and symptoms. In addition, the CAP score, a patient-based symptom score, was calculated.KEY RESULTSRadiographic resolution, clinical cure and normalization of the CAP score were observed in 30.8%, 93% and 32% of patients at day 10, and in 68.4%, 88.9% and 41.7% at day 28, respectively. More severe CAP (PSI score >90) was independently associated with delayed radiographic resolution at day 28 (OR 4.7, 95% CI 1.3–16.9). All 12 patients with deterioration of radiographic findings during follow-up had clinical evidence of treatment failure.CONCLUSIONSIn mild to moderately severe CAP, resolution of radiographic abnormalities and resolution of symptoms scored by the patient lag behind clinical cure assessed by physicians. Monitoring a favorable disease process by routine follow-up chest radiographs seems to have no additional value above following a patient's clinical course.

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We discovered a highly virulent variant of subtype-B HIV-1 in the Netherlands. One hundred nine individuals with this variant had a 0.54 to 0.74 log 10 increase (i.e., a ~3.5-fold to 5.5-fold increase) in viral load compared with, and exhibited CD4 cell decline twice as fast as, 6604 individuals with other subtype-B strains. Without treatment, advanced HIV—CD4 cell counts below 350 cells per cubic millimeter, with long-term clinical consequences—is expected to be reached, on average, 9 months after diagnosis for individuals in their thirties with this variant. Age, sex, suspected mode of transmission, and place of birth for the aforementioned 109 individuals were typical for HIV-positive people in the Netherlands, which suggests that the increased virulence is attributable to the viral strain. Genetic sequence analysis suggests that this variant arose in the 1990s from de novo mutation, not recombination, with increased transmissibility and an unfamiliar molecular mechanism of virulence.