Objectives: We assessed the epidemiological and spatiotemporal patterns of HIV cases reported between 1997 and 2020 in Kerman, Iran.
Method: We compared the age, gender, modes of transmission, and spatial distribution of newly diagnosed HIV infected people over time (1997-2004, 2005-2012, and 2013-2020). We also mapped the services and spatial distribution for people who were living with HIV in 2020. The nearest neighbor index and kernel density were used to identify the spatial distribution of HIV cases. Chi square for trend, one-sample t-test, and Kruskal Wallis H tests were used to compare the differences over time. Stata 17 and ArcGIS 10.3 were used for HIV surveillance data analysis.
Results: A total of 459 (25.6% women) people were diagnosed with HIV during 1997-2020. The proportion of women (from 9.3% in 1997-2004 to 48.3% in 2013-2020, P < 0.001), those infected with HIV through sexual contacts (from 11.6% in 1997-2004 to 50.3% in 2013-2020, P < 0.001), proportion of HIV infected children under 5 years of age (0.8% in 1997-2004 to 5.4% in 2013-2020, P = 0.01), and mean age at diagnosis among men (from 34.9 in 1997-2004 to 39.8 years in 2013-2020, P = 0.004) significantly increased over time. The mean age at diagnosis among women (34.5 years in 2013-2020), and the proportion who diagnosed with CD4 count <200 (36.2% in 2013-2020) did not change significantly over time. The density map of residents with HIV infection had the highest density in the northern and southern edges of the city in 2005-2012. The HIV clusters in 2020 matched with the locations of fixed and mobile services.
Conclusion: We observed important changes in HIV epidemiology regarding gender, modes of transmission, number of pediatric cases, and density maps over time which should be considered for precise targeting of HIV prevention, treatment, and outreach programs in this city.