2011
DOI: 10.1038/bjc.2011.250
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What is the lifetime risk of developing cancer?: the effect of adjusting for multiple primaries

Abstract: Background:The ‘lifetime risk' of cancer is generally estimated by combining current incidence rates with current all-cause mortality (‘current probability' method) rather than by describing the experience of a birth cohort. As individuals may get more than one type of cancer, what is generally estimated is the average (mean) number of cancers over a lifetime. This is not the same as the probability of getting cancer.Methods:We describe a method for estimating lifetime risk that corrects for the inclusion of m… Show more

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Cited by 121 publications
(113 citation statements)
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“…The main limitation of any lifetime risk study lies in the necessary assumption of time homogeneity of incidence and mortality rates [2,3]. Continuation of the increase in mean life expectancy, which has been steady for more than two centuries [19,26], will increase the lifetime risk of COPD hospitalisation.…”
Section: Strengths and Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The main limitation of any lifetime risk study lies in the necessary assumption of time homogeneity of incidence and mortality rates [2,3]. Continuation of the increase in mean life expectancy, which has been steady for more than two centuries [19,26], will increase the lifetime risk of COPD hospitalisation.…”
Section: Strengths and Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Lifetime risk estimates overcome this problem by summing up the spectrum of age-specific incidence rates and the rates of disease-free survival into one single number [2,3]. Such estimates are commonly used benchmarks with regard to other chronic diseases, such as cardiovascular disease and cancer, but they have not until recently been adopted in COPD [4,5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We decided to adjust for these confounders and additionally for other potential confounders that were a major risk factor (30% increased risk) for breast cancer and were found to be differentially associated with shift work. The final adjustment set therefore was: age (1,11,12), ethnicity (1,13,14), socioeconomic status (or a proxy) (10,(15)(16)(17), parity (16,(18)(19)(20)(21) with adjustment done for either number of children, or age at first child, and body mass index (BMI) (overweight, obese) (22)(23)(24).…”
Section: Confoundersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Approximately 12% of women will experience breast cancer during their lifetime (1). Therefore, breast cancer maintains its importance as a serious public health issue.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%