Trends and Structural Changes in Japanese Post-2011 Agri-Food Trade Flows

Abstract

1) 10 meters was the mean inundation height of the tsunami near the shorelines. The maximum inundation height was 19.5 meters and maximum run-up height 39.7 meters. Maximum run-up heights above 10 meters were distributed along 425 km of coastline and greater than 20 meters along 290 km of coast (Mori et al., 2011). 2) Different types of "Surveillance measures" were adopted such as import bans, import bans in accordance with distribution restrictions in Japan, certificates of pre-export testing for radionuclides, certificates of production place and reinforced inspections. 3) These figures do not include damages created by exclusion zones for agricultural production or damages caused by international surveillance measures.

Global agricultural trade impact of the 2011 triple disaster in Japan: A gravity approach*

“…13). The variability in the impacts per sector extends to imports of agricultural products, suggesting that any policy targeting the alleviation of effects from the triple disaster should be product specific, a conclusion also supported by Dadakas et al (2021).…”

“…Dadakas et al. (2021) find that, for most agri‐food HS product categories, the increase in imports was observed only in the short‐run and it was followed by decreasing trends, which in some cases was also marked by level or trend structural breaks. Our results support decreases in import levels due to the triple disaster as early as 2012 (model 7).…”

“…One of the few articles in the literature related to agri‐food trade flows by Dadakas et al. (2021) examines trends and structural changes in post‐2011, time series of imports and exports of 2‐digit (HS) agri‐food products of Japan. They studied the structural stability of the time‐series to determine whether the drastic changes observed in trade flows, immediately after the disaster, were supported by endogenously determined, statistically significant changes in the evolution of the series.…”