2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-20887-z
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Transitions to sustainable management of phosphorus in Brazilian agriculture

Abstract: Brazil’s large land base is important for global food security but its high dependency on inorganic phosphorus (P) fertilizer for crop production (2.2 Tg rising up to 4.6 Tg in 2050) is not a sustainable use of a critical and price-volatile resource. A new strategic analysis of current and future P demand/supply concluded that the nation’s secondary P resources which are produced annually (e.g. livestock manures, sugarcane processing residues) could potentially provide up to 20% of crop P demand by 2050 with f… Show more

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Cited by 200 publications
(178 citation statements)
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“…A recent global‐scale analysis of agricultural P inputs and outputs (Mogollón et al, 2018) provided data for comparing the historical case of Brazil to those of the United States and western Europe, from 1900 through 2000. To bring the balances up to date, current statistics from FAOSTAT, IFASTAT, NuGIS, and Withers et al (2018) were used to continue the fertilizer and crop removal series to 2016. Manure inputs were assumed to follow the model projections in Mogollón et al (2018).…”
Section: Legacies Across Latitudesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…A recent global‐scale analysis of agricultural P inputs and outputs (Mogollón et al, 2018) provided data for comparing the historical case of Brazil to those of the United States and western Europe, from 1900 through 2000. To bring the balances up to date, current statistics from FAOSTAT, IFASTAT, NuGIS, and Withers et al (2018) were used to continue the fertilizer and crop removal series to 2016. Manure inputs were assumed to follow the model projections in Mogollón et al (2018).…”
Section: Legacies Across Latitudesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While a simple linear projection of this trend might imply that Brazil's ratio of cumulative surplus to current crop removal will exceed that of western Europe within a few decades, there are indications that inputs on Brazilian farms could be reduced on soils that have been in production for a few decades. Results of several long‐term field experiments show yield optimization at rates not exceeding crop removal (Withers et al, 2018). …”
Section: Legacies Across Latitudesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Valadão Júnior et al (2008), and Araújo et al (2008), applying P in a Typical Haplorthox, based on the expected soybean yield, found maximum plant height at 140 kg ha -1 P 2 O 5 and 192.07 kg ha -1 P 2 O 5 , respectively. These possible differences found for the same soil class are strongly influenced by mineralogy, which differentiates between soils, reinforcing the need to know this attribute, in order to estimate PAC and, consequently, conduct the strategic management of phosphate fertilizers (Peluco et al, 2015;Withers et al, 2018). Figure 4.…”
Section: B ------------------------------------------F Values -----mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, recent estimates of world phosphate rock reserves (i.e., the extractable proportion of the reserve base at the time of determination) increased >4.5‐fold, from 15,000 Tg in 2008 to 70,000 Tg in 2018 (USGS, 2018), owing to newly discovered reserves in Morocco and the Western Sahara. Nevertheless, continued P deficiencies are expected in regions with high P‐fixing soils and low nutrient inputs with manure as a primary P source (Scholz et al, 2013; Withers et al, 2018). Furthermore, the geopolitical positioning and trade agreements of the six nations that together hold >85% of the world's P reserves will likely control the global distribution of P fertilizer (Schröder et al, 2010; USGS, 2018; Withers et al, 2018).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%