Let $$\mu $$
μ
be a log-concave probability measure on $${\mathbb R}^n$$
R
n
and for any $$N>n$$
N
>
n
consider the random polytope $$K_N=\textrm{conv}\{X_1,\ldots ,X_N\}$$
K
N
=
conv
{
X
1
,
…
,
X
N
}
, where $$X_1,X_2,\ldots $$
X
1
,
X
2
,
…
are independent random points in $${\mathbb R}^n$$
R
n
distributed according to $$\mu $$
μ
. We study the question if there exists a threshold for the expected measure of $$K_N$$
K
N
. Our approach is based on the Cramer transform $$\Lambda _{\mu }^{*}$$
Λ
μ
∗
of $$\mu $$
μ
. We examine the existence of moments of all orders for $$\Lambda _{\mu }^{*}$$
Λ
μ
∗
and establish, under some conditions, a sharp threshold for the expectation $${\mathbb {E}}_{\mu ^N}[\mu (K_N)]$$
E
μ
N
[
μ
(
K
N
)
]
of the measure of $$K_N$$
K
N
: it is close to 0 if $$\ln N\ll {\mathbb {E}}_{\mu }(\Lambda _{\mu }^{*})$$
ln
N
≪
E
μ
(
Λ
μ
∗
)
and close to 1 if $$\ln N\gg {\mathbb {E}}_{\mu }(\Lambda _{\mu }^{*})$$
ln
N
≫
E
μ
(
Λ
μ
∗
)
. The main condition is that the parameter $$\beta (\mu )=\textrm{Var}_{\mu }(\Lambda _{\mu }^{*})/({\mathbb {E}}_{\mu }(\Lambda _{\mu }^{*}))^2$$
β
(
μ
)
=
Var
μ
(
Λ
μ
∗
)
/
(
E
μ
(
Λ
μ
∗
)
)
2
should be small.