2010
DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00344.x
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The Implications of Increased Survivorship for Mortality Variation in Aging Populations

Abstract: The remarkable growth in life expectancy during the twentieth century inspired predictions of a future in which all people, not just a fortunate few, will live long lives ending at or near the maximum human life span. We show that increased longevity has been accompanied by less variation in ages at death, but survivors to the oldest ages have grown increasingly heterogeneous in their mortality risks. These trends are consistent across countries, and apply even to populations with record-low variability in the… Show more

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Cited by 87 publications
(103 citation statements)
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References 51 publications
(37 reference statements)
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“…With respect to the latter, as survival improves overall within a population, the cohorts that are capable of surviving to each age may become more heterogeneous, and thus health disparities may become apparent at increasingly older ages (Engelman et al 2010). These findings suggest that evidence of declines in health or increased heterogeneity at older ages might indicate improvements in health or mortality at younger ages.…”
Section: Examination Of Frailty and Demographymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…With respect to the latter, as survival improves overall within a population, the cohorts that are capable of surviving to each age may become more heterogeneous, and thus health disparities may become apparent at increasingly older ages (Engelman et al 2010). These findings suggest that evidence of declines in health or increased heterogeneity at older ages might indicate improvements in health or mortality at younger ages.…”
Section: Examination Of Frailty and Demographymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Vaupel, Zhang, and van Raalte (2011) report relatively stable variability patterns for survivors beyond age 50 in the last 100 years. Engelman, Caswell, and Agree (2014) and Engelman, Canudas-Romo, and Agree (2010), however, provide evidence for a modest expansion of lifespan variability for survivors at older ages, resulting from mortality improvement at these same ages.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…When an explanation has been provided, it has tended to refer primarily to international differences in age-at-death variability (11-19), rather than to the various trends over time (11,13,16,20,21). Smoking has, however, been mentioned as being one of the possible determinants of differences in age-at-death variability between countries, sexes, or educational groups (e.g.(12,14,18)).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%