The impacts of climate change on the runoff volume of Melen and Munzur Rivers in Turkey based on calibration of WASMOD model with multiobjective genetic algorithm

Balov, Mustafa Nuri; Altunkaynak, Abdüsselam

doi:10.1007/s00703-019-00676-7

Cited by 6 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 54 publications

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“…One investigation showed the impacts of climate change on the total runoff volume in two different watersheds (i.e., Melen and Munzur in Turkey). The results of this study showed that the total water volume would decrease in accordance with precipitation diminution and temperature increase during the mid-time (2041-2070) and the late future (2071-2100) of the 21st century in both watersheds [14]. In 2003, a study by Jacoby et al [15] of tree-rings in Mongolia provided evidence of unusual warming that agreed with large-scale reconstructed and recorded temperatures for the Northern Hemisphere and the Arctic.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 67%

Historical Trends in Air Temperature, Precipitation, and Runoff of a Plateau Inland River Watershed in North China

Zhang

Gao

Wang

et al. 2019

Water

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Understanding historical trends in temperature, precipitation, and runoff is important but incomplete for developing adaptive measures to climate change to sustain fragile ecosystems in cold and arid regions, including the Balagaer River watershed on the Mongolian Plateau of northeast China. The objective of this study was to detect such trends in this watershed from 1959 to 2017. The detection was accomplished using a Mann-Kendall sudden change approach at annual and seasonal time scales. The results indicated that the abrupt changes in temperature preceded that in either runoff or precipitation; these abrupt changes occurred between 1970 and 2004. Significant (α = 0.05) warming trends were found at the minimum temperatures in spring (0.041 °C a−1), summer (0.037 °C a−1), fall (0.027 °C a−1), and winter (0.031 °C a−1). In contrast, significant decreasing trends were found in the precipitation (−1.27 mm a−1) and runoff (−0.069 mm a−1) in the summer. Marginally increasing trends were found in the precipitation in spring (0.18 mm a−1) and fall (0.032 mm a−1), whereas an insignificant decreasing trend was found in the runoffs in these two seasons. Both precipitation and runoff in the wet season exhibited a significant decreasing trend, whereas in the dry season, they exhibited a marginally increasing trend. Sudden changes in spring runoff and sudden rises in temperature are the main causes of sudden changes in basin rainfall.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 67%