The impacts of climate change and land cover/use transition on the hydrology in the upper Yellow River Basin, China

Cuo, Lan; Zhang, Yongxin; Gao, Yanhong; Hao, Zhenchun; Cairang, Luosang

doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.003

Cited by 219 publications

(156 citation statements)

References 54 publications

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“…In particular, the northern TP (NTP;(30)(31)(32)(33)(34)(35)(36)(37)(38)(39)(40)(90)(91)(92)(93)(94)(95)(96)(97)(98)(99)(100)(101)(102)(103)(104)(105) • E) where the Yellow, Yangtze and Mekong Rivers originate, is crucially important in providing water and other ecosystem services to the plateau itself and the downstream regions hosting billions of population. Changes in the composition of different PFTs, and consequently FPCs, could substantially affect surface evapotranspiration, soil water storage and streamflow (Cuo et al, 2009(Cuo et al, , 2013a(Cuo et al, , 2015Weiss et al, 2014;Dahlin et al, 2015), and the partition of net radiation into the sensible and latent heat fluxes, consequently affecting the onset and intensity of south and east Asian monsoon circulations (Wu et al, 2007;Cui et al, 2015). Although there are some studies that connect NDVI (normalized difference vegetation index) and NPP (net primary production) to precipitation, air temperature, and CO 2 concentrations on the TP (Zhong et al, 2010;Chen et al, 2012;Piao et al, 2012), very few studies have examined PFT changes and their relationships with climate for the region (Wang et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulated annual changes in plant functional types and their responses to climate change on the northern Tibetan Plateau

et al. 2016

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Abstract. Changes in plant functional types (PFTs) have important implications for both climate and water resources. Still, little is known about whether and how PFTs have changed over the past decades on the northern Tibetan Plateau (NTP) where several of the top largest rivers in the world are originated. Also, the relative importance of atmospheric conditions vs. soil physical conditions in affecting PFTs is unknown on the NTP. In this study, we used the improved Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model to investigate PFT changes through examining the changes in foliar projective coverages (FPCs) during 1957-2009 and their responses to changes in root zone soil temperature, soil moisture, air temperature, precipitation and CO 2 concentrations. The results show spatially heterogeneous changes in FPCs across the NTP during 1957-2009, with 34 % (13 %) of the region showing increasing (decreasing) trends. Dominant drivers responsible for the observed FPC changes vary with regions and vegetation types, but overall, precipitation is the major factor in determining FPC changes on the NTP with positive impacts. Soil temperature increase exhibits small but negative impacts on FPCs. Different responses of individual FPCs to regionally varying climate change result in spatially heterogeneous patterns of vegetation changes on the NTP. The implication of the study is that fresh water resources in one of the world's largest and most important headwater basins and the onset and intensity of Asian monsoon circulations could be affected because of the changes in FPCs on the NTP.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulated annual changes in plant functional types and their responses to climate change on the northern Tibetan Plateau

et al. 2016

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“…The changes on climate and land cover along the last decades and the expected ones for the future reveal a decrease on basins discharge within the Mediterranean area as is noted in many studies [1,5,24,25,26,27,28]. Many other studies also reflect that climate and landuse changes have a direct effect on discharge decrease [29, 30,31,32,33].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 81%

The influence of climate and land-cover scenarios on dam management strategies in a high water pressure catchment in North-east Spain

Zabalza-Martínez

Vicente‐Serrano

López‐Moreno

et al. 2017

Proceedings of First International Electronic Conference on the Hydrological Cycle

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Abstract:The water management of Boadella-Darnius reservoir (NE Spain) has been analysed for the period 1971-2013 to understand the different strategies applied in the past. Streamflow has been projected under climate conditions included in the Third Report on Climate Change in Catalonia (TCCC) and under land-use change scenarios. We have simulated Darnius-Boadella reservoir inflow (2021-2050) using the Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System (RHESsys) with two objectives: (i) to analyse the impact of climate and land-use changes on the water resources of the basin and (ii) to analyse the different plausible strategies of water management at mid-term period . Results reveal a clear negative trend in dam inflow (-34.7%) since it was built in 1971. The simulations obtained with RHESsys show a similar trend at mid-term (2021-2050) with -31.1% under climate and land-use change conditions. Considering the ecological minimum flow outlined by Catalan Water Agency (ACA) and the possible dam inflow decrease, different water management strategies are needed to mitigate the effects of the expected climate change.

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“…VIC is a well-established and extensively used rainfall-runoff model especially in 20 areas with existence of snowmelt and frozen soil (Tang and Lettenmaier, 2010;Cuo et al, 2013a;Su et al, 2016). A twolayer snow model is embodied in VIC, which considers snow accumulation and ablation in a ground pack and an overlying forest canopy based on energy balance (Andreadis et al, 2009).…”

Section: Hydrological Model and N-pareto-optimal Parameter Setsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Sun et al (2016) applied HIS in the Aksu River and successfully calculated the relative contribution of the glacier and snow meltwater to total runoff. Besides the experimental approaches, considerable studies obtain snowmelt component via a simple ratio of rainfall and snowmelt from hydrological model simulation (Cuo et al, 2013a;Siderius et al, 2013), whereas these methods are often primitive and neglect the physical processes that affect the transformation from snow to runoff, such as evapotranspiration, sublimation, and infiltration. Li et al (2017) developed a new snowmelt tracking 25 algorithm in VIC model to compute the ratio of the snow-derived runoff to the total runoff with consideration of systematic analyses, demonstrating promising performance in applications over western United States.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential application of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting flood and its components over the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China

Liu¹,

Pan²,

Bai³

et al. 2018

Preprint

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Abstract. In recent year, flood becomes a serious issue in Tibetan Plateau (TP) due to climate change. Many studies have shown that ensemble flood forecasting based on numerical weather predictions can provide early warning with extended lead time. However, the role of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting flood volume and its components over the 10 Yarlung Zangbo River Basin (YZR), China has not been systematically investigated. This study adopts Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model to forecast annual maximum floods (MF) and annual first floods (FF) in YZR based on precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Nsimulations is proposed to account for more scenarios of parameters in VIC and shows improved flood simulation. Ensemble flood forecasting system can skilfully predict MF with a lead time of more than10 days, and has skill in forecasting the 15 snowmelt-related components in about 7 days ahead. The accuracy of forecasts for FF is inferior with a lead time of only 5 days. The performance in 7-day accumulated flood volumes is better than the peak flows. The components in baseflow for FF are irrelevant to lead time, whilst for MF an obvious deterioration in performance with lead time can be perceived. The snowmelt-induced surface runoff is the most poorly captured component by the system, and the well-predicted rainfallrelated components are the major contributor for good performance. From this study, it is concluded that snowmelt-induced 20 flood volume plays an important role in YZR Basin especially in FF.

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The impacts of climate change and land cover/use transition on the hydrology in the upper Yellow River Basin, China

Cited by 219 publications

References 54 publications

Simulated annual changes in plant functional types and their responses to climate change on the northern Tibetan Plateau

Simulated annual changes in plant functional types and their responses to climate change on the northern Tibetan Plateau

The influence of climate and land-cover scenarios on dam management strategies in a high water pressure catchment in North-east Spain

Potential application of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting flood and its components over the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China

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