The forest mitigation-adaptation nexus: Economic benefits of novel planting regimes

Dymond, Caren C.; Giles-Hansen, Krysta; Asante, Patrick

doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2020.102124

Cited by 9 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 64 publications

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“…Climate-induced decrease in NPP and aboveground biomass stocks is expected to affect the total amount of carbon transferred to harvested wood products, as also observed by Dymond, et al [60] in northwestern Canada. For Maskinongé, softwoods appear to be particularly affected by this change, mirroring climate-induced decline in cold-tolerant species.…”

Section: Consequences On Harvested Wood Productssupporting

confidence: 52%

Mitigation Potential of Ecosystem-Based Forest Management under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Boreal-Temperate Forest Ecotone

Landry

Thiffault

Cyr

et al. 2021

Forests

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The forest sector can help reduce atmospheric CO2 through carbon (C) sequestration and storage and wood substitution of more polluting materials. However, climate change can have an impact on the C fluxes we are trying to leverage through forestry. We calculated the difference in CO2 eq. fluxes between ecosystem-based forest management and total forest conservation in the context of the temperate-boreal forest ecotone of Quebec (Canada), taking into account fluxes from forest ecosystems, wood product life cycle, and the substitution effect of wood products on markets. Over the 2020–2120 period, in the absence of climate change, ecosystem-based forest management and wood production caused average net annual emissions of 66.9 kilotonnes (kt) of CO2 eq. year−1 (relative to forest conservation), and 15.4 kt of CO2 eq. year−1 when assuming a 100% substitution effect of wood products. While management increased the ecosystem C sink, emissions from degradation of largely short-lived wood products caused the system to be a net source. Moreover, climate warming would decrease the capacity of ecosystems to sequester C and cause a shift towards more hardwood species. Our study highlights the need to adapt the industrial network towards an increased capacity of processing hardwoods into long-lived products and/or products with high substitution potential.

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Section: Consequences On Harvested Wood Productssupporting

confidence: 52%

Mitigation Potential of Ecosystem-Based Forest Management under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Boreal-Temperate Forest Ecotone

Landry

Thiffault

Cyr

et al. 2021

Forests

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“…[2] Woodstock is used worldwide for strategic forest planning and management (Walters 1993). Recent academic studies that use of the software in the context of climate change and adaptation include: Dymond et al (2020), Lundholm (2020Dhital et al (2015).…”

Section: Economic Impact and Cost-bene T Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Forest succession, management and the economy under a changing climate: coupling economic and forest management models to assess impacts and adaptation options

Lantz

McMonagle

Hennigar

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Climate change is expected to have significant impacts on forests by affecting the successional dynamics of tree species and the performance of plantations, among others. Research is needed to better understand how these factors will affect forests and economies in different regions, and how we can best adapt. To shed some light on these issues, we couple an economic (Computable General Equilibrium) model with a forest management (Woodstock) model to analyze the potential climate change impacts and adaptation options on timber supply and the economy over the 2015-95 period in a case-study province of New Brunswick, Canada. We estimate that climate change may have relatively large negative impacts on softwood timber supply (at 26% by 2095), softwood forestry & logging sector output quantity (at 12% by 2095), and softwood-dependent forestry manufacturing sector output (ranging from 6% to 27% by 2095). Negative impacts on GDP may be relatively smaller (at up to a 0.33% reduction by 2095). Adapting to these climate-related changes by planting drought-resistant softwood seedlings or hardwood seedlings in place of failed softwood plantations can reduce these negative impacts. While the former adaptation option is supported using cost-benefit analysis, the latter is not – due to the large incremental costs of growing, planting, and tending hardwood seedlings. Methods developed in this study can be applied in other regions to help guide decision-making around forest management in the face of a changing climate.

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“…The world's forests may assist in providing one quarter of the climate mitigation needed to stabilize warming to below 2 • C by 2030 (Griscom et al, 2017), and it is therefore crucial to understand how to promote forest C sequestration in a warmer future (Temperli et al, 2012;Hof et al, 2017;Dobor et al, 2020;Dymond et al, 2020). Generally, increasing forest C sequestration can be accomplished following three approaches: (i) improved forest stewardship, (ii) reduced deforestation through increased conservation and preservation, and (iii) increased reforestation and afforestation (Field and Mach, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Harvesting Intensity and Aridity Are More Important Than Climate Change in Affecting Future Carbon Stocks of Douglas-Fir Forests

Robinson¹,

Defrenne²,

Roach³

et al. 2022

Front. For. Glob. Change

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Improved forest management may offer climate mitigation needed to hold warming to below 2°C. However, uncertainties persist about the effects of harvesting intensity on forest carbon sequestration, especially when considering interactions with regional climate and climate change. Here, we investigated the combined effects of harvesting intensity, climatic aridity, and climate change on carbon stocks in Douglas-fir [Pseudotsuga menziesii Mirb. (Franco)] stands. We used the Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector to simulate the harvest and regrowth of seven Douglas-fir stand types covering a 900 km-long climate gradient across British Columbia, Canada. In particular, we simulated stand growth under three regimes (+17%, −17% and historical growth increment) and used three temperature regimes [historical, representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6 and RCP 8.5]. Increasing harvesting intensity led to significant losses in total ecosystem carbon stocks 50 years post-harvest. Specifically, forests that underwent clearcutting were projected to stock about 36% less carbon by 2,069 than forests that were left untouched. Belowground carbon stocks 50 years into the future were less sensitive to harvesting intensity than aboveground carbon stocks and carbon losses were greater in arid interior Douglas-fir forests than in humid, more productive forests. In addition, growth multipliers and decay due to the RCP’s had little effect on total ecosystem carbon, but aboveground carbon declined by 7% (95% confidence interval [−10.98, −1.81]) in the high emissions (RCP8.5) scenario. We call attention to the implementation of low intensity harvesting systems to preserve aboveground forest carbon stocks until we have a more complete understanding of the impacts of climate change on British Columbia’s forests.

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The forest mitigation-adaptation nexus: Economic benefits of novel planting regimes

Cited by 9 publications

References 64 publications

Mitigation Potential of Ecosystem-Based Forest Management under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Boreal-Temperate Forest Ecotone

Mitigation Potential of Ecosystem-Based Forest Management under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Boreal-Temperate Forest Ecotone

Forest succession, management and the economy under a changing climate: coupling economic and forest management models to assess impacts and adaptation options

Harvesting Intensity and Aridity Are More Important Than Climate Change in Affecting Future Carbon Stocks of Douglas-Fir Forests

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