The energy transition as fiscal rupture: Public services and resilience pathways in a coal company town

Roemer, Kelli; Haggerty, Julia H.

doi:10.1016/j.erss.2022.102752

Cited by 23 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…The extant literature has documented that when coal and other facilities close, economic impacts extend well beyond direct job losses for facility employees 16 . Local and state jurisdictions often lose a significant portion of their tax revenues, which can affect schools and other public services 12 , 17 – 19 . In communities where fossil fuel extraction, processing, or centralized use (e.g., at power stations) is the main source of economic activity, there are typically spill-over effects on other industries such as on retail, food establishments, and construction 16 , 20 – 23 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mapping county-level vulnerability to the energy transition in US fossil fuel communities

Raimi

Carley

Konisky

2022

Sci Rep

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The energy transition toward lower-carbon energy sources will inevitably result in socioeconomic impacts on certain communities, particularly those that have historically produced fossil fuel resources and electricity generation using fossil fuels. Such communities stand to lose jobs, tax revenues, and support for public services. Which communities are most likely to be affected, which are more susceptible to being harmed, and how to target adaptive capacity programs—such as economic development and workforce training—accordingly are pressing scholarly and policy questions. In this study, we apply a vulnerability framework to calculate, rank, and map exposure and sensitivity scores for fossil fuel producing regions in the US. We find that, while counties in most regions of the United States will be affected by the transition away from fossil fuels, counties in Appalachia, Texas and the Gulf Coast region, and the Intermountain West are likely to experience the most significant impacts, and some regions experience overlapping and significant incidence of vulnerability. These results can be used to target future adaptive capacity programs.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mapping county-level vulnerability to the energy transition in US fossil fuel communities

Raimi

Carley

Konisky

2022

Sci Rep

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“…Project delays would lengthen this. If the CCS project is not successful, the EGU still operates unabated for longer than it otherwise would have, then closes suddenly with no support, structure, or plan for closure, with major community impacts that could have been avoided in the scenario with a state transition plan (Haggerty et al 2018, Roemer andHaggerty 2022). Given discussion even of bringing closed plants back online due to the potential for CCS (Global CCS Institute 2022, Robinson-Avila 2022), the idea that plants might stay online longer than they otherwise would have because of the possibility of adding CCS, even with a low success probability, is not inconceivable.…”

Section: Ira and Power Sector Ccsmentioning

confidence: 99%

US power sector carbon capture and storage under the Inflation Reduction Act could be costly with limited or negative abatement potential

Grubert

Sawyer²

2023

Environ. Res.: Infrastruct. Sustain.

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The United States’ expected largest-ever climate mitigation investment, through 2022’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), relies heavily on subsidies. One major subsidy, the 45Q tax credit for carbon oxide sequestration, incentivizes emitters to maximize production and sequestration of carbon oxides, not abatement. Under IRA’s 45Q changes, carbon capture and storage (CCS) is expected to be profitable for coal- and natural gas-based electricity generator owners, particularly regulated utilities that earn a guaranteed rate of return on capital expenditures, despite being costlier than zero-carbon resources like wind or solar. This analysis explores investment decisions driven by profitability rather than system cost minimization, particularly where investments enhance existing assets with an incumbent workforce, existing supplier relationships, and internal knowledge-base. This analysis introduces a model and investigates six scenarios for lifespan extension and capacity factor changes to show that US CCS fossil power sector retrofits could demand $0.4-$3.6 trillion in 45Q tax credits to alter greenhouse gas emissions by -24% ($0.4 trillion) to +82% ($3.6 trillion) versus business-as-usual for affected generators. Particularly given long lead times, limited experience, and the potential for CCS projects to crowd or defer more effective alternatives, regulators should be extremely cautious about power sector CCS proposals.

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“…41 Also, surveying the specialists and experts develops the conditions for situations in which the raw data is not available. 42 For example, to evaluate society's resilience, the fundamental resilience indices are considered secondary components, such as the infrastructural, social, and environmental components. 42 To meet society's needs and improve them, indices such as medical capacity, age of the building, and shelter capacity are considered.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…42 For example, to evaluate society's resilience, the fundamental resilience indices are considered secondary components, such as the infrastructural, social, and environmental components. 42 To meet society's needs and improve them, indices such as medical capacity, age of the building, and shelter capacity are considered. 43 Using factors such as physical infrastructure, population, and environment.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…They came to the conclusion that with zoning, resilience, and sustainable development in mining areas increases. Also, this method has been used in different cases the economic effects of the coal transition, 42 and corporate social responsibility and local economic development based on the community resilience. 48 The qualitative method has been very rarely used in this field due to not using the mathematical principles and numerical descriptions for engineering system resilience.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A novel index for shearer system resilience in underground coal mines based on the operational environment

Norouzi Masir,

Ataei,

Sereshki

2024

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O:

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The use of resilience during the mining period by guaranteeing the safety and performance of the systems greatly helps the managers and engineers with their decision-making and designing different systems. During the last two decades, various studies have been conducted in this regard. However, the analysis of underground coal mining systems’ resilience has been rarely addressed by these studies. The present study aims to provide a quantitative index for resilience in the environment of underground coal mining operations based on the risk factors. To do so, in a case study of Tabas Mechanized Coal Mine, the Failure of shearer data and the stoppages caused by it (for 2 years and a half, from March 2017 to June 2019) were studied to analyze the system’s resilience. Then, the experts were surveyed. After collecting and categorizing the data, the data analysis calculations were done for indicators of reliability, maintainability, supportability, organizational resilience, PHM system efficiency, and economic resilience. Finally, a new quantitative index named the “Shearer System Resilience Index” was introduced. The results indicated that resilience is reduced over time. They also shows that in order to improve resilience, project managers should pay more attention to these indicators, especially the indicators of maintainability, and organizational resilience. Therefore, regarding the scope of the data investigated in the current study, the use of Failure of Shearer data-based risk factors and experts’ opinions for the analysis of resilience in the case study is strongly recommended.

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The energy transition as fiscal rupture: Public services and resilience pathways in a coal company town

Cited by 23 publications

References 39 publications

Mapping county-level vulnerability to the energy transition in US fossil fuel communities

Mapping county-level vulnerability to the energy transition in US fossil fuel communities

US power sector carbon capture and storage under the Inflation Reduction Act could be costly with limited or negative abatement potential

A novel index for shearer system resilience in underground coal mines based on the operational environment

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