1994
DOI: 10.1086/298355
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The Determinants of U.S. Labor Disputes

Abstract: We present a bargaining model of union contract negotiations, in which the union decides between two threats: the union can strike or continue to work under the expired contract. The model makes predictions about the level of dispute activity and the form the disputes take. Strike incidence increases as the strike threat becomes more attractive, because of low unemployment or a real wage drop during the prior contract. We test these predictions by estimating logistic models of dispute incidence and dispute com… Show more

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Cited by 39 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…For ↵ > (1 + 2 )/(2(1 + )) 1/2, the SPE payoffs for player 1 and player 2 are equal to . 10 The data in Table 1 seem consistent with delays reported in Cramton and Tracy [14]. 11 De Bruyn and Bolton [2] have shown that the ERC model provides satisfactory fit for sequential bargaining game data along several dimensions (first-offer behavior, rejection behavior, disadvantageous counteroffers, ...) and that the estimates of fairness preferences obtained in one bargaining situation are indicative of bargainer behavior in other situations where strategic parameters such as time cost, stake and bargaining length differ.…”
Section: Concluding Discussionsupporting
confidence: 78%
“…For ↵ > (1 + 2 )/(2(1 + )) 1/2, the SPE payoffs for player 1 and player 2 are equal to . 10 The data in Table 1 seem consistent with delays reported in Cramton and Tracy [14]. 11 De Bruyn and Bolton [2] have shown that the ERC model provides satisfactory fit for sequential bargaining game data along several dimensions (first-offer behavior, rejection behavior, disadvantageous counteroffers, ...) and that the estimates of fairness preferences obtained in one bargaining situation are indicative of bargainer behavior in other situations where strategic parameters such as time cost, stake and bargaining length differ.…”
Section: Concluding Discussionsupporting
confidence: 78%
“…For example, economic research has historically examined issues such as strike incidence and duration (Campolieti, Hebdon and Hyatt, 2005), the determinants of strikes (Cramton and Tracy, 1994), and the impact of strikes on employment (Rao, 2000).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Using higher levels of unemployment to proxy higher worker strike costs, Ingram, Metcalf and Wadsworth (1993) find British strikes to be more likely the higher the unemployment, again contrary to expectations. On the other hand, Crampton and Tracy (1994) find that U.S. strike incidence increases with lower levels of unemployment and lower real wages. Burlow and Buckley (1998) offer empirical support for the joint costs model using Irish firm-level data, as does Nicolitsas (2000) using British data.…”
Section: I2 Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 89%