250 words). Background. Smoking prevalence is higher amongst individuals with schizophrenia and depression compared to the general population. Mendelian randomisation (MR) can examine whether this association is causal using genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies (GWAS).Methods. We conducted a GWAS of lifetime smoking behaviour (capturing smoking duration, heaviness and cessation) in a sample of 462,690 individuals from the UK Biobank, and validated the findings via two-sample MR analyses of positive control outcomes (e.g., lung cancer). Having established the validity of our instrument, we used bi-directional twosample Mendelian randomisation to explore its effects on schizophrenia and depression.Outcomes. There was strong evidence to suggest smoking is a causal risk factor for both schizophrenia (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.67 -3.08, P < 0.001) and depression (OR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.71 -2.32, P < 0.001). We also found some evidence that genetic risk for both schizophrenia and depression cause increased lifetime smoking (β = 0.022, 95% CI = 0.005 -0.038, P = 0.009; β = 0.091, 95% CI = 0.027 -0.155, P = 0.005).Interpretation. These findings suggest that the association between smoking, schizophrenia and depression is due, at least in part, to a causal effect of smoking, providing further evidence for the detrimental consequences of smoking for mental health.Evidence before this study: The association between smoking and mental health (especially schizophrenia and depression) is often assumed to be the result of selfmedication (for example, to alleviate symptoms). However, more recent evidence has suggested that smoking might also be a risk factor for schizophrenia and depression. This alternative direction of effect is supported by meta-analyses and previous prospective observational evidence using related individuals to control for genetic and environmental confounding. However, observational evidence cannot completely account for confounding or the possibility of reverse causation. One way to get around these problems is Mendelian randomisation (MR). Previous MR studies of smoking and mental health have not shown an effect of smoking on depression and are inconclusive for the effects of smoking on schizophrenia. However, these studies have only looked at individual aspects of smoking behaviour and some studies required stratifying participants into smokers and non-smokers, reducing power.
Added value of this study:We have developed a novel genetic instrument for lifetime smoking exposure which can be used within a two-sample MR framework, using publiclyavailable GWAS summary statistics. We were therefore able to test the bi-directional association between smoking with schizophrenia and depression to see if the effects are causal. We found strong evidence to suggest that smoking is a causal risk factor for both schizophrenia and depression. There was some evidence to suggest that risk of schizophrenia and depression increases lifetime smoking (consistent with the selfmedication hypothesis) but t...