“…Though the traditional tourism forecasting methods are typically linear and deterministic, the system under study is dynamic and influenced by unpredictable externalities (Baggio, 2008;Faulkner & Russell, 1997;McKercher, 1999). Computational modelling and simulation approaches have been gradually applied in the context of tourism, such as system dynamics (Jamal, Borges, & Figueiredo, 2004), CA (Petrov, Lavalle, & Kasanko, 2009), and agent-based modelling (Balbi, Giupponi, Perez, & Alberti, 2013;Boavida-Portugal, Ferreira, & Rocha, 2015;Johnson & Sieber, 2009Johnson et al, 2016;Pizzitutti, Mena, & Walsh, 2014).…”