Ann. Appl. Stat. 2020 DOI: 10.1214/20-aoas1347 View full text
Amanda Lenzi, Marc G. Genton

Abstract: Saudi Arabia has recently begun promoting renewable energy as a potential alternative to fossil fuels for domestic power generation. In order to efficiently connect wind energy to the existing power grids, reliable wind forecasts and an accurate way of quantifying the uncertainties of these forecasts are required. Motivated by a data set of hourly wind speeds from 28 stations in Saudi Arabia, we build spatio-temporal models for short-term probabilistic forecasts of wind vectors. Traditionally, wind speed and w…

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