Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Ice–Snow Freezing and Its Impact on Subtropical Forest Fires in China

Abstract

Ice–snow freezing may disrupt the growth condition and structure of forest vegetation, increasing combustible loads and thus triggering forest fires. China’s subtropical regions are rich in forest resources, but are often disturbed by ice–snow freezing, especially due to climate change. Clarifying the responsive areas and times of forest fires to ice-snow freezing in this region is of vital importance for local forest fire management. In this study, meteorological data from 2001 to 2019 were used to extract the precipitation and its duration during the freezing period in order to analyze the freezing condition of forest vegetation in subtropical China. To improve the accuracy of identifying forest fires, we extracted forest fire information year-by-year and month-by-month based on the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) active fire data (MOD14A2) using the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), and analyzed the forest fire clustering characteristics in the region using the Moran’s Index. Then, correlation analysis between forest fires and freezing precipitation was utilized to explore the responsive areas and periods of forest fires caused by ice–snow freezing. Our analysis shows the following: (1) during the period of 2001–2019, the ice–snow freezing of forest vegetation was more serious in Hunan, Jiangxi, Hubei, and Anhui provinces; (2) forest fires in subtropical China have shown a significant downward trend since 2008 and their degree of clustering has been reduced from 0.44 to 0.29; (3) forest fires in Hunan, Jiangxi, and Fujian provinces are greatly affected by ice–snow freezing, and their correlation coefficients are as high as 0.25, 0.25, and 0.32, respectively; and (4) heavy ice–snow freezing can increase forest combustibles and affect forest fire behavior in February and March. This research is valuable for forest fire management in subtropical China and could also provide a reference for other regions.