Solving the Problem of Multiple-Criteria Building Design Decisions with respect to the Fire Safety of Occupants: An Approach Based on Probabilistic Modelling

Abstract

The design of buildings may include a comparison of alternative architectural and structural solutions. They can be developed at different levels of design process. The alternative design solutions are compared and ranked by applying methods of multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM). Each design is characterised by a number of criteria used in a MCDM problem. The paper discusses how to choose MCDM criteria expressing fire safety related to alternative designs. Probability of a successful evacuation of occupants from a building fire and difference between evacuation time and time to untenable conditions are suggested as the most important criteria related to fire safety. These two criteria are treated as uncertain quantities expressed by probability distributions. Monte Carlo simulation of fire and evacuation processes is natural means for an estimation of these distributions. The presence of uncertain criteria requires applying stochastic MCDM methods for ranking alternative designs. An application of the safety-related criteria is illustrated by an example which analyses three alternative architectural floor plans prepared for a reconstruction of a medical building. A MCDM method based on stochastic simulation is used to solve the example problem.

Dynamic modeling for product family evolution combined with artificial neural network based forecasting model: A study of iPhone evolution

“…An application of the mathematical technique to facilitate the selection of the best alternative among a set of possible alternatives will allow reducing the probability of a wrong choice [61]. The set of 'n' key design features (alternatives) denoted, say by a 1 , a 2 ,.…”

An Assessment Framework for Solar Cell Material Based on a Modified Fuzzy DEMATEL Approach

“…College research facilities and other investigation centers give firms with simpler get to logical skill and research, in this way, encouraging the exchange of information into commercial applications [74][75][76]. The role of colleges has progressively been considered, and they are imperative since their common mission is instruction and inquiry, as well as their potential to serve as hubs for business and science-industry exchange [77][78][79].…”

“…One instrument for the market-side approach is an open acquirement. Vaidogas and Šakėnaitė [75] list a few perspectives that ought to be considered when building up an arrangement for acquirement for the industry's development. To fortify R&D and advancement in financially obliged portions, the government has to increase the current cash stream of creative firms by buying more at higher costs, whereas to brace R&D and progression in portions that viably raise exterior capital, the government ought to commit to a course of action that increases the creative firms' future expected benefits, for illustration, by promising to buy future innovative merchandise at higher costs.…”

A Classification Model to Evaluate the Security Level in a City Based on GIS-MCDA

“…For Dyer et al [15], since the 1980s MCDM methods have been implemented in computer systems to support the decision-making process and have subsequently been called Decision Support Systems (DSS). In recent years, authors have explored MCDM methods in different applications [16][17][18].…”