Objective: To investigate the mortality rate and possible early predictive factors of mortality after 19-23 years in a cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) followed prospectively from disease onset.
Patients and methods:A community-based cohort of 183 patients (63% female) with RA and disease duration < 2 years was recruited [1985][1986][1987][1988][1989]. The patients were followed yearly from diagnosis until death or 31 December 2008. Mean age and mean duration of symptoms (range) at diagnosis were 52 (18-78) years and 11 (0-24) months, respectively. Death certificates were obtained from the Swedish Cause of Death Register and causes of death coded by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). Death rates of RA patients were compared to those of age-and sex-matched controls. Possible predictors of mortality were analysed using a Cox regression model.
Results:By 31 December 2008, 69 patients (37 women and 32 men) had died. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was 1.23 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.97-1.55] and p < 0.09. Older age, male sex, smoking, and the presence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at RA diagnosis were identified as early predictors of mortality. CVD was the most common cause of death (46%), followed by malignancies (29%) and infections (13%). RA was not stated as the direct cause of death in any patient and was mentioned among underlying causes in only 16/69 (23%) patients.
Conclusion:Mortality rate after 19-23 years of disease duration in this cohort of patients with disease onset in the 1980s was not significantly increased compared to age-and sexmatched controls. No RA disease-related factor predicted mortality.Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic inflammatory disease commonly associated with joint destruction, disability, and increased co-morbidity. The issue of premature mortality in patients with RA has been addressed in numerous studies. The first study reporting an increased mortality in patients with RA compared to controls was published in 1953 (1), and was followed by several reports confirming these findings (2-9). In recent decades the approach to treatment of RA and treatment strategies in RA has changed dramatically. Early treatment with disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and the availability of biological remedies have led to better control of disease activity and decreased disability (10)(11)(12)(13)(14). However, in a population-based analysis of trends over four decades published in 2003, an increased mortality rate [standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 1.27] in RA patients was found (6). Overall mortality in the general population was shown to decrease over 4-5 decades but mortality rates in RA remained relatively constant, resulting in a widening of the mortality gap (7). A recently published review of > 200 studies on mortality in RA reported lower SMRs in studies of inception cohorts compared to non-inception cohorts over 60 years (median SMRs of 1.2-1.3 and 1.6-1.7, respectively) (15). Krause et al (16) found that a sufficien...