Research on Supply and Demand of Aged Services Resource Allocation in China: A System Dynamics Model

Abstract

With the rapid growth of the elderly population of China in recent years, the service demands of older Chinese people continue to increase. The increasingly severe situation with respect to the elderly population is an important social problem that China will face for a long time into the future. It is urgent to solve the problem of how to scientifically carry out allocation planning of service resources for the aged and guide the effective supply of service resources. This paper analyzes the factors affecting service resources for the aged, divides China’s service resource supply and demand system into a supply subsystem, a demand subsystem, and a population and economy subsystem. Using system dynamics methods to analyze the causal relationship between variables and the state space method to build a mathematical model and perform simulation analysis, we research the the current situation of China’s service resources supply and demand balance for the aged. In addition, we put forward resource configuration optimization measures for the future allocation of service resources for the aged, providing a practical basis for future decision-making.

Determinants of the Mobile Health Continuance Intention of Elders with Chronic Diseases: An Integrated Framework of ECM-ISC and UTAUT

“…As population aging speeds up, the conflict between the growing medical demand and the scarcity and disproportional distribution of medical resources is a major obstacle to the development of China’s medical undertakings. How to effectively ensure different parts of China to have access to adequate medical resources remains a social issue of great significance [ 9 ].…”

Spatial coupling relationship between older adults and elderly care resources in the Yangtze River Delta

“…Zhao [ 11 ] defined elderly care resources as all resources available to older adults to cope with elderly care issues in the context of urban elderly care. Such resources are material elements that offer various services to older adults, including human, material, and financial resources [ 12 ]. Broadly, we believe that they can be defined as all accessible resources that meet the demands of older adults.…”

“…In addition, substantial research has been conducted on the relationship between supply and demand for elderly care resources (such as healthcare services for older adults) [ 12 , 29 ], which is an essential index to reflect the allocation of elderly care resources. Coupling theory is one of significant tools to explore the coupling between supply and demand and can provide scientific perspectives to reasonably regulate supply and demand [ 30 ].…”

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of the Supply and Demand Coupling Coordination of Elderly Care Service Resources in China

“…Generally, elderly care services can be summarized as daily life care and professional nursing, including life care, nursing, education, culture and entertainment, legal advice and other content [ 5 ]. Based on the existing literature [ 6 ], this paper sorted out the related concepts of old-age service and old-age service resources. The schematic diagram of the relationship between the key concepts is shown in Figure 1 .…”