volume 8, issue 4, P757-786 2002
DOI: 10.1017/s1357321700003901
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A. Felipe, M. Guillen, A. M. Perez-Marin

Abstract: Our research deals with the way that calendar time affects mortality patterns in the Spanish population, and how this information can be used to elaborate predictions. A description of the observed mortality evolution has been worked out using data from 1975 to 1993. We have used Heligman-Pollard Law number two to model the evolution of Spanish mortality over the period and using univariate time series analysis, we have obtained a prognosis for years