DOI: 10.17265/2159-581x/2016.04.002
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Gerard Croteau

Abstract: Abstract: Forecasts of record values are usually avoided unless expected to occur with great confidence within less than 48 hours, or in association with an extreme event such as a hurricane. Otherwise the risk of a high visibility false alarm outweighs the benefit of a correct early hit. Yet automated forecasts may occasionally include record values beyond day 2, which forecasters may choose to downplay, or not. In Canada, forecasters keep their focus on high impact weather for days 1 and 2, so that forecast…

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