Re-examining the Effects of Trading with China on Local Labor Markets: A Supply Chain Perspective

Abstract

for helpful comments. The paper represents the personal views of the authors, and all errors are the responsibilities of the authors alone. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.

US exports and employment

“…import exposure from China), then export expansion brought about 805,000 jobs in 1991-1999, and about 514,000 jobs in 1999-2007. On the other hand, if we focus on import shocks from China, the import competition led to 521,000 job losses in 1991-1999, and 1.24 million job losses in 1999-2007 18. In the bottom rows ofTable 3, we present the implied net job change during different periods, for each specification.…”

The ‘China Shock’, Exports and U.S. Employment: A Global Input-Output Analysis

“…Wang et al (2017) extend the regression analysis of Hanson (2013, 2015) by using input-output variables Feenstra and Sasahara (2017). andWood (2017) also rely on global input-output analysis.…”

Trade, value chains and labor markets in advanced economies

“…Extending the definition of import exposure in this value chain consistent manner attenuates the findings by Autor et al (2013) for manufacturing employment. Wang et al (2018) find that commuting zones more exposed to Chinese imports fare only slightly worse in terms of manufacturing employment and real wage growth than less exposed regions. This is mainly due to employment creation in downstream industries that expand, potentially due to cheaper inputs.…”

“…In this context, researchers have revisited the seminal work by Autor et al (2013) that examines the effect of Chinese import competition on labor market outcomes in US commuting zones. In contrast to the original study, the new work considers as exposed not only industries that produce the products that the US imports from China but also these industries' upstream supplier and downstream customer industries (Wang et al, 2018). It thus takes a value chain perspective.…”