Quantifying coastal inundation vulnerability of Turkey to sea-level rise

Demirkesen, Ali Can; Evrendilek, Fatih; Berberoğlu, Süha

doi:10.1007/s10661-007-9746-7

Cited by 46 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Coastal erosion has been identified as one of the major problems for the Black Sea beaches (Demirkesen et al, 2007;Kos'Yan et al, 2012). Estimates show that rise of sea level by 1 cm results in 1-2 m of coastal erosion (Goryachkin and Ivanov, 2006).…”

Section: A a Kubryakov Et Al: Quantifying The Impact Of Basin Dynamentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying the impact of basin dynamics on the regional sea level rise in the Black Sea

2017

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Abstract. Satellite altimetry measurements show that the magnitude of the Black Sea sea level trends is spatially uneven. While the basin-mean sea level rise from 1993 to 2014 was about 3.15 mm yr −1 , the local rates of sea level rise varied from 1.5-2.5 mm yr −1 in the central part to 3.5-3.8 mm yr −1 at the basin periphery and over the northwestern shelf and to 5 mm yr −1 in the southeastern part of the sea. We show that the observed spatial differences in the dynamic sea level (anomaly relative to the basin-mean) are caused by changes in the large-and mesoscale dynamics of the Black Sea. First, a long-term intensification of the cyclonic wind curl over the Black Sea, observed in 1993-2014, strengthened divergence in the center of the basin and led to the rise of the sea level in coastal and shelf areas and a lowering in the basin's interior. Second, an extension of the Batumi anticyclone to the west resulted in ∼ 1.2 mm yr −1 higher rates of sea level rise in the southeastern part of the sea. Further, we demonstrate that the large-scale dynamic sea level variability in the Black Sea can be successfully reconstructed using the wind curl obtained from an atmospheric reanalysis. This allows for the correction of historical tide gauge records for dynamic effects in order to derive more accurate estimates of the basin-mean sea level change in the past, prior to the satellite altimetry era.

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Section: A a Kubryakov Et Al: Quantifying The Impact Of Basin Dynamentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying the impact of basin dynamics on the regional sea level rise in the Black Sea

2017

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“…And then the impacts of infrastructure and economic investments in case of the basins (the Göksu basin connecting inner Anatolia to Mediterranean which includes a delta protected by International Ramsar Convention, the Bakırçay basin in West Anatolia and Anatolian side of Istanbul basin oriented towards the Black Sea covering a shore land and water through which includes a natural site) from Turkey pointed out in Fig. 1 are explained, taking the sea level rise study results of Kuleli [11], Kuleli et al [12], Alpar [13], Demirkesen et al [14] for Turkey into consideration. Subsequently, the implications of infrastructure and economic investments being applied and/or envisaged at regional and local scale and their reciprocal interactions with the natural (water, air, soil, etc.)…”

Section: Factors Of Climate Change In Different Basinsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Proposing a Holistic Basin-Scale as a Strategy of Smart Planning in Adaptation to Climate Change

Hamamcıoğlu¹,

Yenen²

2017

WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment

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Forthcoming expected results due to the phenomenon of global warming require adaptation strategies and precautions promptly to be taken on international, national and local scales. With reference to this urgent circumstance, policy frameworks executed by the international organizations, governments and ministries of nations on the consequences of adaptation to climate change have been on the agenda over the last decade. This study is derived from Turkey's policy of approach that excludes the investments of infrastructure and economic sectors from the scope of the National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan (2011) as a critic from the perspective of balanced development that is also an instrument of sustainability. Therefore, to clarify this deficiency, factors of infrastructure and economic sectors exacerbating the process of climate change and their mutual interaction with other sectors and nature is identified and discussed over remarkable samples from three geographically and socio-economically different basins in Turkey, studied since 2005 by the researchers of this paper. In order to coordinate adaptation to climate change, this study designates: (1) the essential role of water-soil-vegetation integrity of the life cycle with human activities, (2) controllable and observable scale for the management of risks and hazardous events, (3) opportunity to determine capacities and thresholds based on cross-sector interaction in terms of the characteristics of the local natural environment and (4) co-existence of communities and settlement system patterns sharing a fate of union of particular bases for implementing holistic basinscale as a strategy of smart planning. As a result, compelling impacts of climate change once again verify and remind us of the significance of interdisciplinary and holistic political decision-making and modules that should involve all sectors in the strategy of smart planning for the future.

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“…Next, the landform areas and coastal inundation risky areas in response to projected sea-level rise were computed and analyzed ( Fig. 3; Table 2) using the ''GIS Analysis'' Tool Set in a remote sensing environment integrated with a GIS system, the Idrisi Taiga system (Eastman 2003;Idrisi 2009;Demirkesen et al 2007Demirkesen et al , 2008.…”

Section: Processing the Srtm Dem Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Multi-risk interpretation of natural hazards for settlements of the Hatay province in the east Mediterranean region, Turkey using SRTM DEM

Demirkesen

2011

Environ Earth Sci

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Many scientists have recently alarmed natural hazards due to global climate change. Such natural disasters are coastal inundation in response to sea-level rise, and/or river flooding caused by heavy rain falls, additionally earthquakes and, etc. In terms of natural hazards, one of the most sensitive and culturally significant areas in Turkey is the Hatay province in the east Mediterranean region. The Hatay province is located on such a region which is not only vulnerable to coastal inundation and river flooding, but also is a tectonically and seismically sensitive area. In this study, for taking conservation measures against the natural hazards beforehand and decision-making on any future land-planning; a digital terrain model and a 3D fly-through model of the Hatay province were generated; then quantitatively and/ or qualitatively interpreted by employing the Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission digital elevation model. Besides, stream drainage patterns, lineaments and structural-geological features were extracted for natural hazard risk interpretation of settlements and their relationships among the landscape characteristics were exhibited by combining tectonic information previously confirmed. Regarding the sea-level rise, the coastal inundation risk map indicates that the most vulnerable areas are: coastlines of Iskenderun, Arsuz, Payas and Samandag, respectively. By/after analyzing the digital terrain of the study region and stream drainage patterns, the Karasu Valley Zone, where the Amik plain, settlements of Antakya, Iskenderun, Arsuz, Payas and Samandag with their flood plains have the most flooding risk in decreasing order, respectively when a heavy raining occurs. Finally, analysis of tectonics has revealed that Antakya, Iskenderun, Hassa, Kirikhan, Samandag, Payas, Arsuz, Altinozu, Kumlu and Hacipasa regions have the most sensitivity to earthquake disaster in the study region.

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Quantifying coastal inundation vulnerability of Turkey to sea-level rise

Cited by 46 publications

References 17 publications

Quantifying the impact of basin dynamics on the regional sea level rise in the Black Sea

Quantifying the impact of basin dynamics on the regional sea level rise in the Black Sea

Proposing a Holistic Basin-Scale as a Strategy of Smart Planning in Adaptation to Climate Change

Multi-risk interpretation of natural hazards for settlements of the Hatay province in the east Mediterranean region, Turkey using SRTM DEM

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