2007
DOI: 10.1007/s10689-007-9176-2
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Probability estimation models for prediction of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers: COS compares favourably with other models

Abstract: The COS and MSS models are the most effective models for use in clinical practice to select families for mutation analysis, but BOADICEA and T-C are more accurate for estimating mutation prevalence within a population.

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Cited by 11 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…The score was derived from two datasets and validated in a third 9 14. Although initially used to discriminate for each BRCA gene in isolation at the 10% detection threshold, a combined score for mutation prediction for both genes has now also been validated 12 13 14. In our clinics, we use a combined score of 16 points for the 10% threshold and 20 points for the 20% threshold of mutation probability.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The score was derived from two datasets and validated in a third 9 14. Although initially used to discriminate for each BRCA gene in isolation at the 10% detection threshold, a combined score for mutation prediction for both genes has now also been validated 12 13 14. In our clinics, we use a combined score of 16 points for the 10% threshold and 20 points for the 20% threshold of mutation probability.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…9 This development was undertaken primarily because existing systems were either laborious or had little validation. Since that time, the Manchester scoring system has compared well with existing models such as BRCAPRO and Myriad as well as the newer BOADICEA model 9 10 11 12 13…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the area under the receiver operator characteristic was numerically better at 0.71 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65-0.78] for C.O.S., than the 0.67 (95% CI, 0.60-0.73) for BRCAPRO, suggesting that COS was better able to distinguish between families with and without a deleterious mutation but overestimated the probability of mutation. Also the COS software for Scotland was compared with other genetic models to estimate the probability of BRCA mutation, showing higher sensitivity and slightly lower specificity (48).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since BC incidence has increased over generations, both in the general population [41] and in mutation carriers [42][43][44][45], we estimated age and birth cohort-specific BC incidence and penetrance rates [31,46,47]. Software results compare favourably with respect to the more widely used BRCAPRO [48].…”
Section: Software To Compute Probability Of Mutationmentioning
confidence: 99%