Abstract:Abstract-This paper presents the probabilistic analysis of surface crack in round bars subjected to bending moment using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). A probabilistic model based on an elastic finite element analysis (FEA) was developed to evaluate the failure probability obtained using a K-estimation method. This method is based on the stress intensity factor (SIF) where the failure occurred when the SIF was assumed to exceed the critical SIF. It was found that, the K-estimation method was adequate to evaluat… Show more
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