2022
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-15308-1
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Abstract: Neoseiulus californicus is a predatory mite with a wide global distribution that can effectively control a variety of pest mites. In this study, MaxEnt was used to analyse the potential distribution of N. californicus in China and the BCC-CSM2-MR model was used to predict changes in the suitable areas for the mite from 2021 to 2100 under the scenarios of SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585. The results showed that (1) the average of area under curve value of the model was over 0.95, which demonstrated an excellent model… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…The results indicated that under severe climate change, the suitable distribution of both predators in Taiwan is projected to contract. This finding is consistent with a previous study by Chen et al ., 51 which indicated that under climate change, areas with low and moderate suitability for N. californicus will increase, while areas with high suitability will decrease, both in Taiwan and globally. In addition, the suitable distribution of N. fallacis is projected to contract in Taiwan but expand globally, for example, in New Zealand.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 93%
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“…The results indicated that under severe climate change, the suitable distribution of both predators in Taiwan is projected to contract. This finding is consistent with a previous study by Chen et al ., 51 which indicated that under climate change, areas with low and moderate suitability for N. californicus will increase, while areas with high suitability will decrease, both in Taiwan and globally. In addition, the suitable distribution of N. fallacis is projected to contract in Taiwan but expand globally, for example, in New Zealand.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 93%
“…conducted a follow‐up study at the scale of China and Taiwan that contradicted the findings of Wang et al ., 49 showing that most mountain areas in Taiwan are suitable for N. californicus . The results of the present study are similar with Chen et al ., 51 demonstrating high model performance and areas with high habitat suitability worldwide that align with the current distribution of N. californicus , which adds credibility to the findings. In the current study, we acknowledged the potential differences in occurrence data, 43 including both the quantity and quality of the data.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 91%
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“…The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve output by MaxEnt is one of the most effective and widely-used methods for evaluating the accuracy of niche models by excluding false positive and false negative distribution results [ 35 , 44 , 45 , 46 , 47 ]. The ROC curve is plotted with a false positive rate (1-specific rate) and true positive rate (1-omission rate) as the horizontal and vertical coordinates according to a series of dichotomies.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%