Prediction of land cover changes in Penajam Paser Utara Regency using cellular automata and markov model

Permatasari, R. J.; Damayanti, Astrid; Indra, Tito Latif; Dimyati, Muhammad

doi:10.1088/1755-1315/623/1/012005

Cited by 9 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…Berdasarkan citra Landsat tahun 2009, 2015, dan 2020, kabupaten Penajam Paser Utara terdiri atas delapan fungsi penggunaan lahan seperti hutan, perkebunan, area terbangun, restorasi mangrove, sawah, semak belukar, kolam, dan badan air. Pada tahun 2009, penutupan lahan didominasi oleh hutan sebanyak 44,29%, namun pada tahun 2015 mengalami penurunan menjadi 39,60% dan 32,53% pada tahun 2020 (Permatasari et al, 2021).…”

Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

Evaluasi penerapan konsep forest city dalam pembangunan lokasi calon ibu kota negara Indonesia penerapan pembangunan berkelanjutan

Nurfatiha,

Nugraheni,

Febriana

et al. 2024

JPSTD

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Jakarta being the nation’s capital, has led to significant environmental stress due to population density. The rise in inhabitants corresponds with the demand for residential land, urban infrastructure, and other auxiliary structures. The Indonesian government proposes the relocation of the State Capital as a remedy to address the issues and loads present in Jakarta and, more extensively, on Java Island. The fair allocation of funds for infrastructure development to boost economic growth outside Java Island is targeted at suitable locations, specifically in the North Penajam Paser and Kutai Kartanegara Regencies. The forest city concept is a strategy in urban planning and development that integrates with nature to safeguard forest regions and biodiversity. Striving for sustainable development necessitates consideration of social, economic, and environmental aspects in the urbanization process on Kalimantan Island. Urbanization issues to general environmental paradigms often arise in several regions, offering a unique viewpoint on the implementation of urban forests at the State Capital candidate location. The shift of service and government hubs is accompanied by population redistribution, with an estimated 1.5 million individuals expected to inhabit the proposed area. Social and environmental conflicts are prevalent issues of concern in the establishment of new cities. The objective of the evaluation is conducted through an analysis of the potential and challenges that will be encountered in relocating the State Capital from the socio-cultural aspect concerning cultural assimilation and environmental aspects related to the urban environment, which can induce an urban heat island. This research employs a descriptive qualitative approach and method to identify potential and problems developed by the necessary strategies through SWOT analysis. The findings of this research offer recommendations that the government, as the decision-maker, must implement to preserve and sustain the potential of the environment and socio-cultural diversity.

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Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

Evaluasi penerapan konsep forest city dalam pembangunan lokasi calon ibu kota negara Indonesia penerapan pembangunan berkelanjutan

Nurfatiha,

Nugraheni,

Febriana

et al. 2024

JPSTD

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“…Therefore, this research needs to be developed based on the limitations that we have conveyed. In addition, land change studies should also be analyzed projectionally using Cellular Automata analysis, such as research by Nurhidayati et al (2017), Fariz et al (2020) and Permatasari et al (2021), so that land cover changes can be seen spatially.…”

Section: The Interests Of Settlements In the District Of Sepakumentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Land Cover Change and Projection of Settlement Land in Sepaku District, North Penajam Paser Regency

Sultan

Rahmalidya

Shopura

et al. 2022

J. Environ. Sci. Educ.

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The relocation of the capital city of Indonesia to Sepaku District, North Penajam Paser Regency, East Kalimantan will have an impact on all existing aspects. Land cover in Sepaku District has decreased from year to year. The area of vegetated land cover in Sepaku District is assumed to be decreasing due to the relocation of the New Capital City (NCC) to the area, which will have a negative impact on the environment. Therefore, this study aims to determine the level of land cover change in Sepaku District and discuss how the condition of land cover in Sepaku District after the construction of the New Capital City (NCC). The method in this study uses GIS (Geographical Information System) analysis and descriptive analysis. The data used are land cover data from 2009 to 2019 to find out changes in land cover and population data from BPS to project the population. Based on the results of the analysis of land cover data from 2009 to 2019 there was a change from scrubland to industrial forest plantations of around 26000 ha. In addition, there was no significant change in the area of built-up land. However, the results of population projections show that Sepaku Sub-district will experience a significant increase in built-up land cover after the construction of the New Capital City (NCC).

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“…Detection of land cover change is critical for better understanding the landscape for sustainable land management (Fatimatuzahra et al, 2021;Thi et al, 2018). Markov -Cellular Automata is an effective model used to predict land-use changes spatially and analyze future land cover changes (Munthali et al, 2020;Permatasari et al, 2021). The CA-Markov model can simulate evolution and show land use over decades (Hazani et al, 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Land Use Prediction Using Markov – Cellular Automata in the Peusangan Watershed, Aceh

Fitri

Damayanti²,

Simangunsong³

et al. 2023

Aceh Int. J. Sci. Technol

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The population growth rate is a factor that causes changes in land use that impact land ecology due to increased population activities related to social, economic, and cultural aspects. Land use change aims to develop facilities and infrastructure to meet the population's needs. This research seeks to interpret land-use changes in 1999, 2008, and 2019 and predict land use in the Peusangan watershed in 2030. The map overlay method analyzes land use change in 1999-2008, 2008-2019, and 2019-2030. In predicting land use, this study uses the Cellular Automata approach. The results of the analysis specifically show that the trend of land use change until 2030 is a decrease in the area of forest land use covering an area of 11,014 ha (4.27%), open land covering an area of 31 ha (0.01%), shrubs 6,083 ha (2.36%), and water bodies covering an area of 459 ha (0.18%). On the other hand, it is predicted that in 2030 the Peusangan watershed will see the most significant increase in land use for plantations of 14,225 ha (5.52%), followed by land use of 1,664 ha (0.65%), 817 ha (0.32%), settlements covering 710 ha (0.28%), 132 ha of rice fields (0.05%), and 28 ha of pond land use (0.01%). The results of this study are expected to be input for policymakers regarding land use planning in the Peusangan watershed in the future

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Prediction of land cover changes in Penajam Paser Utara Regency using cellular automata and markov model

Cited by 9 publications

References 12 publications

Evaluasi penerapan konsep forest city dalam pembangunan lokasi calon ibu kota negara Indonesia penerapan pembangunan berkelanjutan

Evaluasi penerapan konsep forest city dalam pembangunan lokasi calon ibu kota negara Indonesia penerapan pembangunan berkelanjutan

Analysis of Land Cover Change and Projection of Settlement Land in Sepaku District, North Penajam Paser Regency

Land Use Prediction Using Markov – Cellular Automata in the Peusangan Watershed, Aceh

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