Predicting the potential distribution and forest impact of the invasive species <i>Cydalima perspectalis</i> in Europe

Canelles, Quim; Bassols, Emili; Vayreda, Jordi; Brotons, Lluı́s

doi:10.1002/ece3.7476

Cited by 18 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 72 publications

(141 reference statements)

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“…Since the value of r was larger than zero (0.05 day À1 ) and according to Smith (1991), this parameter can be considered the most appropriate measure of fitness, and the increasing C. perspectalis population growth can, to some extent, be predicted. It can be hypothesised that the moth dispersal was enabled by several factors, namely the positive value of the intrinsic rate of natural increase calculated, the inefficiency of most of the indigenous species of natural enemies (Wan et al, 2014), the presence of the host plant and climate suitability (Canelles et al, 2021). Such conjuncture could, in part, account for C. perspectalis dissemination across Northern Iran.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demographic study of the box tree moth Cydalima perspectalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) feeding on Buxus hyrcana (Buxales: Buxaceae)

Loghmani,

Rahmani,

Kiadaliri

2023

Agri and Forest Entomology

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Cydalima perspectalis (Walker 1859) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) is a destructive pest that has recently been reported from the ancient Hyrcanian forests feeding on leaves and shoots of Buxus hyrcana Pojarkova. To gain a deeper insight into the biology and population dynamics of C. perspectalis, a laboratory population was studied under controlled conditions. The moth was reared on B. hyrcana at 25 ± 1°C, 65 ± 10% RH and 16 h:8 h (L:D), and the data obtained were used to build a life table, adjusted to allow for the evaluation of the stage duration, for both males and females. The mean adult survival was 11.94 ± 0.26 days, the pre‐oviposition period lasted, on average, for 6.71 ± 0.18 days and the mean fecundity attained was 58.19 ± 7.81 eggs/female. Newly emerged females had a life expectancy (exj) of 14 days and males 19 days. The intrinsic rate of increase for the population was 0.05 ± 0.00 days−1, and the net reproductive rate was 24.05 ± 3.95 offspring/female. The biological and ecological data obtained allowed for the estimation of C. perspectalis biotic potential, thus contributing to the development of sustainable control methods for this pest and, consequently, to a reduction of the damage caused to box trees.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demographic study of the box tree moth Cydalima perspectalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) feeding on Buxus hyrcana (Buxales: Buxaceae)

Loghmani,

Rahmani,

Kiadaliri

2023

Agri and Forest Entomology

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“…Therefore, quantitative impact prediction systems with occurrence reports used to distinguish between well established and ephemeral populations. Impacts are more likely in new areas that are climatically similar to previously affected sites (Venette 2017, Canelles et al 2021.…”

Section: Empirical Assessment Of Prior Pest Activitymentioning

confidence: 96%

Approaches to Forecasting Damage by Invasive Forest Insects and Pathogens: A Cross-Assessment

Raffa

Brockerhoff²,

Grégoire

et al. 2023

BioScience

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Nonnative insects and pathogens pose major threats to forest ecosystems worldwide, greatly diminishing the ecosystem services trees provide. Given the high global diversity of arthropod and microbial species, their often unknown biological features or even identities, and their ease of accidental transport, there is an urgent need to better forecast the most likely species to cause damage. Several risk assessment approaches have been proposed or implemented to guide preventative measures. However, the underlying assumptions of each approach have rarely been explicitly identified or critically evaluated. We propose that evaluating the implicit assumptions, optimal usages, and advantages and limitations of each approach could help improve their combined utility. We consider four general categories: using prior pest status in native and previously invaded regions; evaluating statistical patterns of traits and gene sequences associated with a high impact; sentinel and other plantings to expose trees to insects and pathogens in native, nonnative, or experimental settings; and laboratory assays using detached plant parts or seedlings under controlled conditions. We evaluate how and under what conditions the assumptions of each approach are best met and propose methods for integrating multiple approaches to improve our forecasting ability and prevent losses from invasive pests.

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“…To our knowledge, two models have been developed to predict potential distribution of BTM for Europe, one CLIMEX [34] and one MaxEnt model [35]. While MaxEnt models are based on the known distribution of organisms and their surrounding environment [36], CLI-MEX models add information on the species' biology including temperature-dependent development, sensitivity to humidity, and changes in daylength [33].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling potential distribution of the invasive box tree moth across Asia, Europe, and North America

Seehausen,

Rimmer,

Wiesner

et al. 2024

PLoS ONE

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The box tree moth Cydalima perspectalis (Walker) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) (BTM) is a native moth throughout eastern Asia, having recently become invasive in Europe (2007) where it feeds on boxwood (= box tree), Buxus spp. The moth rapidly spread across Europe and the Caucasus causing damage to both ornamental and wild Buxus. In 2018, C. perspectalis was found in Toronto, ON, Canada, and has since spread south into the US. To better predict where the moth will establish and have significant impact on ornamental trade in North America, we used most recent scientific literature and distribution points to update the temperature and diapause indices of an existing ecoclimatic CLIMEX model. The model parameters provided a good fit for the potential distribution of BTM compared to its known distribution across eastern Asia and in Europe. Interestingly, our results suggest that the current native distribution in Asia is incomplete and that further expansion is also possible in its introduced range, especially in northern Europe, along the Mediterranean coast of Africa, and eastward to central Russia. In North America, the model predicts that most of North America should be climatically suitable for the moth’s establishment, with the exception of Alaska and the northern territories of Canada, as well as higher elevations in the Rocky Mountains and southern hot and dry areas. Our study highlights the importance of the CLIMEX model to assess the risk of BTM spreading in its newly invaded areas, especially North America, and its use to help make decisions in terms of regulatory dispersal restrictions and choice of management options.

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Predicting the potential distribution and forest impact of the invasive species Cydalima perspectalis in Europe

Cited by 18 publications

References 72 publications

Demographic study of the box tree moth Cydalima perspectalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) feeding on Buxus hyrcana (Buxales: Buxaceae)

Demographic study of the box tree moth Cydalima perspectalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) feeding on Buxus hyrcana (Buxales: Buxaceae)

Approaches to Forecasting Damage by Invasive Forest Insects and Pathogens: A Cross-Assessment

Modelling potential distribution of the invasive box tree moth across Asia, Europe, and North America

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