Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis: An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean

Patel, Mita; Kok, Kasper; Rothman, Dale S.

doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2006.02.005

Cited by 208 publications

(179 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…We therefore organised scenario workshops at the national level and with the communities of the North Rupununi. We used a participatory approach to develop the scenarios (see for example, Berkhout et al, 2002;Hulse et al, 2004;Kok et al, , 2011Patel et al 2007;Enfors et al, 2008;Bohensky et al, 2011;Palacios-Agundez et al, 2013). Our view was that a participatory scenario process could provide a platform for dialogue among different interest groups, learning amongst participants and help develop shared visions to address sustainable development challenges (Johnson et al, 2012).…”

Section: Participatory Scenario Workhops At National and Local Scalesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Our common future? Cross-scalar scenario analysis for social–ecological sustainability of the Guiana Shield, South America

Mistry

Tschirhart

Verwer³

et al. 2014

Environmental Science & Policy

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AcknowledgementsWe would like to thank all the participants of the North Rupununi and Guyana scenario workshops and Dominique Laffly for his advice in carrying out statistical analysis. Thank you to the anonymous reviewers for their comments. This research has been funded by the Environment Programme, Management of Natural Resources, DG Research and Innovation, European Commission 7 th Framework. 2 AbstractScenarios help build a shared understanding of potential futures and allow us to engage with how interventions or activities may impact on people and the environment. There are many scenario sets that have been developed at the global and regional level, but to a lesser extent at the national and local levels. Yet fewer studies have explicitly linked imagined futures at different socialecological scales. In this paper, we discuss how scenario analysis was used with indigenous communities and national level stakeholders in Guyana, South America, to explore context specific futures in relation to linked socialecological systems. These futures were then analysed against published regional (Amazonian) and international scenarios using a qualitative coding approach and supported by quantitative factorial analysis. This allowed us to develop a matrix of multi-scalar scenarios, showing how scenarios at all scales interact. From this, we were able to identify virtuous and vicious cycles amongst the different scales where developments produced feedbacks to make situations worse, better or counteract change at other levels. Our results show that there is considerable mismatch between the different scales of analysis, with the national scale playing a key role as mediator. In addition, we highlight the importance of focusing on the root causes shaping futures as well as participatory forms of scenario development in order to provide better policy and decision support, and stimulate engagement at all levels of organisation in the process of change.

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Section: Participatory Scenario Workhops At National and Local Scalesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Our common future? Cross-scalar scenario analysis for social–ecological sustainability of the Guiana Shield, South America

Mistry

Tschirhart

Verwer³

et al. 2014

Environmental Science & Policy

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“…The participants introduced themselves to get to know one other better and provided a frame for better understanding the various perspectives (Patel et al, 2007). For each focus group, they worked together during the open discussion and then individually during the score of scenarios.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Planning Rural Landscapes: A Participatory Approach to Analyse Future Scenarios in Monferrato Astigiano, Piedmont, Italy

et al. 2013

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The future of rural landscapes in Europe is a subject of considerable debate between policy makers and researchers. This paper aims to analyse public awareness of social, economic, and political forces affecting future rural landscapes in an effort to support local planning policies implementing the European Landscape Convention in a rural landscape (Piedmont, Italy). Public consultation with two focus groups (Institutional Stakeholders and Civil Society Stakeholders) was set up to reveal personal perceptions. In a first part the main driving forces affecting local landscape transformations were identified and their likely effects were discussed with the participants.Participants' preferences regarding three alternative future scenarios were analysed in a second part.Results confirmed the complexity of a shared decision-making process in planning rural landscapes.Not only did the two groups differ in expectation, perception, and attitude, but also in their interpretation of the landscape scenarios.

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“…It also allows researchers to think about how to communicate and how to assess simulations based on climate models with the participants (McCrum et al 2009). In the centre of this continuum, Patel et al (2007) provided broad socio-economic scenarios for the Mediterranean region to support actors' exploration of scenarios at local level. At the other extremity of the continuum, all scenarios are built in collaboration with the actors during the workshops.…”

Section: Contents and Status Of Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Only a few reports (e.g. Patel et al 2007) explain how they took such challenges into account right from the start of the design process. When this is the case, the authors generally focus on cognitive issues, i.e., how to support actors' understanding of the dynamics and impacts of climate change (Loibl andWalz 2010, Shaw et al 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Participatory analysis for adaptation to climate change in Mediterranean agricultural systems: possible choices in process design

Faysse

Rinaudo²,

Bento

et al. 2012

Reg Environ Change

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There is an increasing call for local measures to adapt to climate change, based on foresight analyses in collaboration with actors. However, such analyses involve many challenges, particularly because the actors concerned may not consider climate change to be an urgent concern. This paper examines the methodological choices made by three research teams in the design and implementation of participatory foresight analyses to explore agricultural and water management options for adaptation to climate change. Case studies were conducted in coastal areas of France, Morocco and Portugal where the groundwater is intensively used for irrigation, the aquifers are at risk or are currently overexploited, and a serious agricultural crisis is underway. When designing the participatory processes, the researchers had to address four main issues: whether to avoid or prepare dialogue between actors whose relations may be limited or tense; how to select participants and get them involved; how to facilitate discussion of issues that the actors may not initially consider to be of great concern; and finally, how to design and use scenarios. In each case, most of the invited actors responded and met to discuss and evaluate a series of scenarios. Strategies were discussed at different levels, from farming practices to aquifer management. It was shown that such participatory analyses can be implemented in situations which may initially appear to be unfavourable. This was made possible by the flexibility in the methodological choices, in particular the possibility of framing the climate change issue in a broader agenda for discussion with the actors.

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Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis: An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean

Cited by 208 publications

References 16 publications

Our common future? Cross-scalar scenario analysis for social–ecological sustainability of the Guiana Shield, South America

Our common future? Cross-scalar scenario analysis for social–ecological sustainability of the Guiana Shield, South America

Planning Rural Landscapes: A Participatory Approach to Analyse Future Scenarios in Monferrato Astigiano, Piedmont, Italy

Participatory analysis for adaptation to climate change in Mediterranean agricultural systems: possible choices in process design

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