Abstracttus, 3 5 arterial P 2 , 4 6 Burkholderia cepacia colonisation, 7 8 and spirometric values 4 6 7 have Background -The assessment of prognosis is an important issue in cystic fib-been found to correlate with survival in cystic fibrosis. In a study of 673 patients Kerem et rosis. The prognostic value of exercise testing in comparison with other pre-al 4 found the forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1 ) to be the most significant predictors of mortality was examined. Methods -Ninety two adult patients with dictor, and that patients with an FEV 1 of less than 30% predicted had a 50% chance of dying cystic fibrosis performed progressive maximal exercise tests and outcome was as-within two years.The value of exercise testing in the assessed at five years. The results of exercise testing were examined along with spiro-sessment of prognosis in cystic fibrosis has been studied infrequently. 6 7 9 Patients attending the metric values, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and sputum culture.adult cystic fibrosis unit in Manchester over the last decade have undergone routine maximal Results -Twenty two subjects died during the five year follow up period and 67 sur-exercise testing and we have investigated its prognostic value in comparison with previously vived. Five subjects received a lung transplant and were excluded from the analysis. described correlates of survival. This information may provide additional guidance in There were significant differences between those who survived and those who died: the assessment of prognosis in adults with cystic fibrosis. mean(SE) forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1 ) 68.9 (2.7) versus 39.7 (3.5)% predicted, BMI 19.0 (0.3) versus 17.1 (0.4) Methods kg/m 2 , peak oxygen uptake (V O 2 peak) 66. 6 The results of 92 patients who underwent ex-(2.2) versus 53.7 (3.7)% predicted, peak ercise testing between 1986 and 1989 in whom work rate (Wpeak) 89.4 (3.8) versus 71.2 the outcome at five years was known were (5.5)% predicted, peak minute ventilation retrospectively examined. Progressive in-(V Epeak) 51.3 (2.0) versus 43.3 (3.1) l/min, cremental exercise testing to a symptom limited and ventilatory equivalent for oxygen (V E/ maximum was performed using an elec-V O 2 ) 32.4 (0.6) versus 38.7 (1.7). Age, sex, tronically braked cycle ergometer (Corival 300, oxygen saturation and Burkholderia ceGould, The Netherlands). The work rate was pacia colonisation were not found to be increased each minute in either 15 or 25 watt significant predictors of mortality. When increments depending on the operator's assignificant independent factors were sessment of fitness and disease severity. Measentered into a multivariate logistic reurements taken included minute ventilation gression model only FEV 1 was found to be (V E), oxygen uptake (V 2 , Oxylog, P K Mora significant correlate of mortality. A cutgan, UK), work rate (W), oxygen saturation off for FEV 1 of 55% predicted gave the best (Sa 2 ; Ohmeda Biox 7300a), and heart rate combination of specificity and sensitivity (Hr; S ...