2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41591-021-01377-8
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Neutralizing antibody levels are highly predictive of immune protection from symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection

Abstract: Predictive models of immune protection from COVID-19 are urgently needed to identify correlates of protection to assist in the future deployment of vaccines. To address this, we analyzed the relationship between in vitro neutralization levels and the observed protection from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection using data from seven current vaccines and from convalescent cohorts. We estimated the neutralization level for 50% protection against detectable SARS-CoV-2 infection t… Show more

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Cited by 3,469 publications
(3,886 citation statements)
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References 59 publications
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“…Overall, our data also suggest that serum-based neutralization studies may provide a good proxy for real-life protection in the case of SARS-CoV-2 (ref. 18 ). Although this remains to be tested in a more widespread manner, it suggests that neutralization studies may be valid as a prompt first step before the establishment of real-world studies in the case of the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 VOCs.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Overall, our data also suggest that serum-based neutralization studies may provide a good proxy for real-life protection in the case of SARS-CoV-2 (ref. 18 ). Although this remains to be tested in a more widespread manner, it suggests that neutralization studies may be valid as a prompt first step before the establishment of real-world studies in the case of the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 VOCs.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Importantly, Fc effector functions were readily detectable above uninfected controls in 94% of subjects for all assays at the last time point sampled, in contrast with neutralization activity, which remained detectable above background for only 70% of subjects. Although neutralizing antibodies are likely to form a correlate of protection for SARS-CoV-2, 7,32 several studies find that neutralizing antibodies in convalescent donors with mild COVID-19 wane rapidly. 2,8,9 The rapid decline of plasma neutralization activity in the early weeks following infection is likely in part explained by the rapid decline of plasma IgM and IgA titers against S and RBD, 20,33 which substantially contribute to neutralization of SARS-CoV-2.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Relative antibody levels were also compared to the median levels of convalescent serum taken 21-115 days post symptom onset in patients with COVID 19; expression of vaccination-induced antibody levels to convalescent individuals helps to define correlates of protection. 10 The association between reactogenicity following second vaccine dose and the proportion of patients with anti-spike or anti-RBD seroconversion two weeks following second dose was assessed by a Chi-Squared test.…”
Section: Study Design and Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%